Just landed in Nashville. It looks like the exit polls were right, for once: a close contest in IN, an Obama landslide in NC. Nice! … Incidentally, my contrary predictive post below appeared about an hour after I sent it. Odd.
I’ve been posting on the other thread. I don’t think Obama will pull out Indiana, but after Marion county and its neighbors finish up, he’ll be within 3%. I don’t think he can make up 30,000 votes in Lake County, though. I think he loses this one by about 2-3 percent.
This is from the Washington Post on Lake County, which has yet to report, but which I don’t think can give Obama 30,000 vote that he’ll need to win. I’d be happy to be surprised, though:
Lake County, in the far northwestern reaches of Indiana, will be crucial territory in understanding where the race is headed in the Hoosier State. Lake, which includes the city of Gary, should be strong for Obama as there is a considerable black population, and the area is covered by a portion of the Chicago media market — meaning voters there have long been accustomed to the Illinois Senator. If Clinton can keep it somewhat close in Lake County — and its 1st Congressional District more broadly — it bodes very well for her chances statewide.
I don’t see any way Obama pulls this out. Can he really pick up 35000 votes in Lake County. He picked up 60000 in Marion County, but only 3000 in South Bend. My guess is that it’ll be closer to the South Bend tally, since there are far fewer voters there than in Marion County.
russert is saying that obama will have to pay clinton’s debt in order for her to drop out. i havn’t heard this before and this is highly shady. a large portion of this debt is apparantly clinton’s and penn’s. so essentially obama would have to give a large portion of money from his donors directly to clinton and penn. i hope this doesn’t happen and hate the sound of it.
im going to bed. hopefully obama pulls off an indiana miracle. my odds….
Is anyone still watching cnn right now?? I am not kidding about this but Blitzer just asked the poor mayor of Gary (supposedly an Obama guy) the same question, word for word, like 4 times. Over and over again. Look, the mayor isn’t going to change his answer. Blitzer, stop asking him the same frickin thing!
Now some mayor of Hammond (admitted Clinton supporter) said there is “hanky panky” that happens all across the state of Indiana and whatever is taking so long in Gary “looks improper.” Are you kidding me? I hate this Hammond mayor more than Blizter.
Now the two mayors are going at it. Great.
I should not be watching cnn this late at night. Everyone’s punchy–including me.
p.s. Hammond mayor just said “I’m proud of her” regarding Clinton’s win.
p.p.s. Hillary Clinton will win, will win Indiana. Hat tip?
This is an archived post. Comments are closed.
To leave a comment on a newer post, please visit the homepage.