In probably the first and last major political announcement ever made in an interview with Ryan Seacrest, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg just stated unequivocally on New Year’s Rockin’ Eve that he will not run for president.
Not that he couldn’t change his mind, of course, but it was surprising to hear a straight answer — no — instead of a non-denial denial.
(Becky and I are watching the countdown to the ball drop on ABC from our hospital room, which also has Wi-Fi.)
Our bundle of joy is here!! She was born at 2:13 PM, weighing 7 pounds, 14 ounces, and she's 21 inches long. She's got a full head of brown hair, and she's the most beautiful thing I've ever seen. :)
UPDATE: Here’s a photo of me with Loyette:
P.S. For anyone who may have missed my earlier posts on the topic, “Loyette” is the baby’s blog nickname. She has a real name, obviously, but we’re not revealing it on the blog because we don’t want her to be easily and instantly Google-able from birth.
With the arrival of Loyette at 2:13 PM on December 31, 2007, I can now proclaim the winner of the first ever Irish Trojan Baby Pool to be…
All of you people who scoffed at picking Loyette’s actual due date must feel pretty silly right now.
After the jump are the predictions, which show me to be the winner; the prediction was today at 11:59 PM, a difference of 9 hours and 46 minutes. In second place was Mike’s brother Matt with a prediction of 12:11 AM tomorrow; he missed the actual mark of 2:13 PM by just under 10 hours.
So, congratulations to our winner, but bigger congratulations to Becky (& Brendan, I suppose) for the birth of their little girl. From the Jewish contingent of the Loyosphere, I wish you a hearty Mazel Tov, and wish you all the best in the coming years.
And if I may editorialize briefly, that baby has got to be one of the cutest things I have seen in a long time (I’m actually writing this post later than the time stamp, so that Brendan’s announcement stays on top of this post). But brown hair? C’mon, Becky, you can’t let your kid have the same color hair as her daddy? Seriously, though, she’s absolutely precious.
That’s USC alum Michael Walsh, a.k.a. lex icon, at left, and UCLA alum Mike Tran at right, looking pretty sanguine under the circumstances.
(This is all because I won a bet, in case you forgot.)
In accordance with the terms of the bet, Tran’s ride will be flag-adorned all day today and tomorrow. So there will be one extra Trojan car driving around the streets of L.A. (or Orange County, whatever) during the Rose Bowl.
Hopefully Mike will manage to contain his self-loathing enough not to drive across the center line or anything. ;)
Here’s another shot of just the car with the flag:
Fight on Trojans, Beat the Illini!!!
Alabama’s win over Colorado in the Independence Bowl kept Hal Strickland in sole possession of the Irish Trojan Bowl Pick ‘em Contest lead. Things could change a lot tomorrow, though, with six bowl games worth two points apiece. Strickland picked Air Force, Georgia Tech, South Florida, Kentucky, Clemson and Oklahoma State. Everyone else’s picks can be viewed here and here.
Current standings here and after the jump.
The New York Times is reporting that Mayor Michael Bloomberg “is growing increasingly enchanted with the idea of launching an independent presidential bid, and his aides are aggressively laying the groundwork for him to run.”
I was thinking about this yesterday, and depending on how things play out in the major-party nomination battles, I think we could see as many as five high-profile presidential tickets battling it out in November. If Huckabee — who is perceived as soft on illegal immigration — wins the GOP nomination, I think Lou Dobbs jumps into the race for sure. Meanwhile, Huckabee’s reputation for having a Carteresque foreign policy could open the door for a McCain independent candidacy… maybe a McCain-Lieberman ticket.
And if Bloomberg is pondering a presidential bid now, imagine how he’ll feel if the other options are the theocrat Huckabee, the nativist Dobbs, the warmongerers McCain and Lieberman, and… the populist crusader Edwards, perhaps? Bloomberg may be a nanny-stater, but surely he’s got enough of the businessman left in him to chafe at Johnny Boy’s extreme anti-corporate rhetoric. Moreover, an Edwards (or Obama) candidacy — as opposed to Hillary — would also beef up the rationale for a McCain-Lieberman bid, since at that point, all of the other options (Huckabee, Edwards/Obama, Dobbs, Bloomberg) would arguably not exactly inspire a great deal of confidence on the foreign-policy front.
So, how would such a race unfold? Nationally, I imagine that Republicans would be hopelessly divided among Huckabee, Dobbs and McCain, while Democrats would rally around Edwards to a much greater extent. Johnny Boy would very likely win a popular plurality nationwide — but of course, that doesn’t matter. What matters is the Electoral College, and such a five-way race would seriously open the possibility of an Electoral College deadlock. But of course, that would require at least three of the five to actually win some states, and Edwards to be held below 270. I imagine Huckabee would win some southern and western states, and it’s conceivable that Dobbs could pick up a couple of southwestern states.
The wild cards would be McCain and Bloomberg. If Mayor Mike could carry New York, and maybe a couple more northeastern states, that in itself might be enough to deadlock the Electoral College, combined with Huckabee’s support in the Bible Belt. But what is Bloomberg’s ideological base, exactly? Although nominally a Republican, he’s functionally a Democrat, and he’d have to pull significant support from centrist Dems. The problem is that, as I said, I imagine the Dems would rally around Edwards, both out of fear of Huckabee and out of an overwhelming desire to take back the White House after eight years of Bush-Cheney. Bloomberg would be painted as a potential Nader, and I suspect his candidacy would fade significantly in this environment.
The other possibility is that McCain could draw broad enough support from the center-left and center-right to pick off a few states. It’s hard to predict whether that would happen — and whether, if it did, it would take away so much from Huckabee that his southern strategy would fall apart. If the GOP splits badly enough, Edwards could even win pluralities in the Bible Belt.
Bottom line, as long as Edwards successfully moves to the center and tones down the angry populism a notch, I imagine he would probably win an electoral majority, possibly in a landslide (though many of his individual state margins would be sub-40% pluralities). But it would be an incredibly unpredictable campaign dynamic, and man, it’d be fun to watch.
P.S. Oh yeah, I almost forgot: Ron Paul on the Libertarian line could draw Nader-like numbers.
P.P.S. If the Electoral College does deadlock, of course, the House of Representatives would elect the president, choosing from among the top three E.C. vote-getters. And the House votes not by individual member, but by state delegation. By my count, based on Wikipedia, the Democrats currently have a majority in 24 state delegations to the Republicans’ 22, with four delegations deadlocked. So neither party has a majority. That’s a very volatile balance, though; many states could flip with just one seat changing hands, and it’s the new House that would pick the president, if it came down to that.
So much for the 2007 hurricane season ending with — or the 2008 season beginning with — an unexpected subtropical storm. Invest 95L, the storm that could have become either Pablo or Arthur, has fizzled.
Brady Quinn made his NFL debut today. (Hat tip: Scott F.)
The RIAA, apparently determined to make itself into a self-caricature, is now arguing in court that it’s illegal to copy CDs you legally bought onto your computer for your own personal use.
Wedding photos here. Some more video highlights are here and here. And after the jump, in case anyone’s interested (and has an hour-and-a-half to kill), I’ve posted our full wedding video — all 1 hour, 26 minutes of it.
If Alabama beats Colorado in the Independence Bowl tomorrow, Hal Strickland will remain in sole possession of first place. If Colorado wins, D. Brooks will tie him for the lead.
Full updated standings here and after the jump.
New England 38, New York 35, final.
Does anyone have any favorite podcasts that they would recommend subscribing to?
P.S. This is actually primarily Becky’s question (though I’m certainly interested in hearing people’s suggestions, too).
I haven’t mentioned this before, but Apple has been very, very kind to me recently. To put it into a brief version, I had an issue where connecting an external monitor to my MacBook Pro caused the system to go into complete deep-freeze mode. At that stage, only a hard restart worked.
Well, I went through several stages of phone support, up to and including reinstalling Tiger. Alas, no great success was found. Finally, I found a workaround that worked on a message board, and pretty much let it go. However, in the interim before this, I actually wrote a letter to Apple, explaining the problem and requesting some assistance in resolving it.
Shortly after sending the letter, I received a nice email and a phone call from a fellow in Cupertino (I assume), who reviewed my case, and explained what was being done from Apple’s perspective on evaluating the glitch.
These calls and emails were frequent over the period of a couple of weeks, and I explained the workaround I had found that was a satisfactory interim solution. Finally, when I installed the 10.4.11 final update of Tiger a couple of weeks ago, the problem was gone completely, without the workaround.
Frankly, I hadn’t really given it any more thought until I received a call from my guy in Cupertino. He explained that the engineers were still working through the issue, and was just giving me a status update. I explained that the problem seemed to be gone after installing 10.4.11, so it was cool. I thanked him for his help, and thought that was all.
Until a few days later, when he called and said, “By the way, we want to send you Leopard.” So, Friday morning, the FedEx guy showed up with my Family Pack box of OS X Leopard. I’ve now installed it on my MacBook Pro and the missus’ MacBook, and it’s pretty sweet.
However, now I get to the main point of my post. I’m really looking for some direction from a website about utilizing the cool new features in Leopard. I’m interested in some tips/tricks, etc. for using Spaces, sharing between computers, the new features in Mail, etc.
Anyone with helpful tips would be a tremendous help. Thanks.