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The future, Conan? Pondering what’s next for the blog
Posted by on Sunday, July 1, 2007 at 1:55 pm

One of the many issues raised by the fact that Becky and I are expecting a child — approximately #1,746 on the list — is the future of this blog. How will I find the time to keep blogging? How often will I update the blog? How will I pay for its continued upkeep?

It’s that last question that I want to focus on for a moment, because it’s really the crucial point in the rest of this discussion. At the moment, I’m shelling out roughly $260 per month for a dedicated server. My dedicated-server buddies Jay, Joe and Brian help me cover some of that total, but I’m still paying about $150 out of pocket — and moreover, for long-term budgeting purposes, it’s necessary for me to set aside enough to cover the whole $260 (since I’m the only one contractually obligated to pay). That means, as I look at our annual budget, I see more than $3,000 going down the drain to pay for the server space that this site lives on. With travel plans in the making, student-loan debts about to come due, and a baby on the way, that $3,000 looms awfully large. Huge, in fact.

Moreover, even putting aside the raw impact of that dollar figure on the rest of our budget, the reality of starting work and starting a family makes the cost seem, well, less worth it. Because the fact is, the blog is inevitably going to diminish somewhat as a priority in my life. That’s not to say I won’t still blog — of course I will. I don’t think I could give up blogging if I wanted to. I’d need a 12-step program, and I doubt even that would work. :) But I’ll spend less time blogging, and focus less energy on my blog’s upkeep. That’s just the reality of what lies ahead. And so while spending $260/month might have made some degree of sense when I was devoting a huge chunk of my (ample) free time to this project, it makes far less sense when I’ll have considerably less free time, and will be devoting considerably less of it to the blog.

Anyway, my first inclination, as I started thinking about this, was to lash out against the necessity of hosting my blog on a dedicated server at all. I’ve never really understood why it’s necessary, considering I “only” average 2,000-ish visits per day. Shouldn’t dedicated servers be necessary only for huge blogs like InstaPundit and Daily Kos? Shouldn’t I be able to host my site on a shared server? Yet experience after experience, with one host after another, makes clear that my blog inevitably taxes a shared server, or even a semi-dedicated server, to the breaking point. I think it’s the combination of the traffic levels with the sheer size of my WordPress database that does it. I may not be one of the blogosphere’s most popular bloggers, but I’m one of its most prolific, and as a result, there is just an absolute ton of stuff in my database for all those MySQL queries to sort through. But that’s just a theory. In any event, whatever the reason, the reality appears to be that I can’t reliably downgrade to a shared or semi-dedicated server without fear of provoking server crises like I’ve had in the past. I might be okay for a while, but a handful of Instalanches — nevermind Katrina Redux, or heaven forbid, a Drudgelanche — and I’d be right back to square one again, scrambling to keep my site online without frying my host’s servers and zapping their other customers. And frankly, I’m so over dealing with that crap.

So, if my blog can’t exist in its current form without being on a dedicated server, and I don’t want to continue paying for a dedicated server, that would seem to leave me with but one choice: fundamentally change the blog’s current form.

This is what I’m thinking. If I stop using WordPress (which runs on, and publishes to, the BrendanLoy.com server) to run my blog, and switch over to one of the big bloggy services like Blogger (on Blogspot) or TypePad, the majority of my traffic — including virtually all of the highly volatile day-to-day traffic that comes with Instalanches and the like — would no longer tax the BrendanLoy.com server. It would instead tax Blogspot’s or TypePad’s servers, which are obviously designed to handle such things much better than any server I could pay for. That would leave the BrendanLoy.com server to handle my photo galleries and miscellaneous static pages (and my old blog archives, but more on that in a second). The overall effect, I think, would be to lessen the load on the BrendanLoy.com server enough that I could downgrade to a shared-server plan (and put that $3,000 toward diapers instead of the dedicated server).

But what about my old blog archives — i.e., this post and everything before it, going back more than five years to April 2002? Would I migrate them over to Blogspot/TypePad, or would I leave them here, severing them from the newly “downgraded” blog? Alas, while it kills me to say it, the answer is obvious: I leave the old posts on the BrendanLoy.com server, archived for historical reference (with comments turned off), and start totally anew. Between the difficulty of exporting from WordPress into a “lesser” service, the importance of maintaining stable links (i.e., not “breaking” five years’ worth of internally and externally linked URLs), and the necessity of making the “new” blog manageable, I think that’s how it would have to be, if I go this route.

So, you’d have my currently active blog in one place — at, say, brendanloy.blogspot.com, for example — and all my other stuff, including my old blog archives, in another place. Of course, there are lots of tricks I could do to make the back-and-forth between these two digital realms as seamless as possible. But the important thing from my perspective is that the bulk of my traffic, and server load, would be handled by Blogspot (or TypePad, or whomever) rather than my server. The huge, honking downside? As of some arbitrary date, Irish Trojan’s Blog 1.0 would abruptly end, and Irish Trojan’s Blog 2.0 would abruptly begin. Searching, categorization, archiving, etc. would all be totally separate between the “old” and the “new.”

I don’t like that, but I’m not sure I have a choice.

And maybe, just maybe, it presents an opportunity. Maybe it wouldn’t simply be “Irish Trojan’s Blog 2.0.” Maybe this is a chance to do some “rebranding,” if you will, and maybe now is the perfect time for it. I’m done being a student, I’m entering the working world, and I’m about to have a kid. At some level, I’ll always be an “Irish Trojan,” but is that really going to be my defining characteristic going forward? Certainly not as much as it has been from 2004 (when the blog first got that name) through 2007. So in other words, maybe instead of separating my blog into Part 1 and Part 2 but otherwise pretending it’s the same blog (just with a technological line of demarcation drawn arbitrarily down the middle), maybe it’s time to actually… you know… start a new blog. Cut the cord on the old one, leave it online in archived form, refer back to it now and then, but: start anew, with a new title, new features, a new outlook.

Well, not a totally new outlook. I mean, I’m still me. :) My blog will always reflect that. And that’s a good thing, I think. But I think maybe the time is coming to retire the “Irish Trojan’s Blog” and move on to something slightly different. Something “rebranded.” I’m not quite sure what that means, or what the new “brand” would be (though I definitely think Jay’s “ABLY NERD ON” has some promise). I don’t know how different the “new” would be from the “old,” really. I don’t know how different I’d want it to be. But I think this is an idea worth considering.

There’s another way in which the “downgrade” idea makes sense, too. I mentioned before that having a baby, starting a job, etc., means that my blog will be de-prioritized somewhat. Well, maintaining a blog that’s hosted on my own server, via server-side software, inevitably means spending a fair amount of time dealing with technical issues relating to the blog’s upkeep. By contrast, hosting it on someone else’s server, via someone else’s software, takes a lot of the technical stuff out of my hands and makes things more streamlined. I’m a user instead of an administrator, basically. In the past, I didn’t like that — I wanted to be as hands-on as possible, with endless options. That’s why I upgraded to WordPress in the first place! But the operative motto going forward might be “simplify, simplify, simplify.” If I’m going to have less time to blog, doesn’t it make sense to spend a greater percentage of what blogging time I do have on actual blogging instead of on technical back-end stuff?

I dunno. I’m still thinking this through, brainstorming about possibilities, trying to imagine what will work best. That’s why I’m posting it here — because my readers usually have some pretty clever ideas, so I figured I’d solicit your input and see what you think. Feel free to comment and make suggestions about any stage of the thought process I’ve just outlined. Do you think you’ve got a better solution to the dedicated-server dilemma? An alternative to splitting the blog in two? A suggestion about “rebranding”? Let’s hear it. As a billionaire presidential candidate — no, no, the other billionaire presidential candidate — once said, “I’m all ears.”

P.S. I’d be remiss if I didn’t point out that this is the second time I’ve pondered the future of the blog in a post titled “The future, Conan?” — and, in so doing, predicted a reduction in my blogging activity because of impending life changes. The first time around, in April 2004, I wrote:

Of course, there will inevitably be some changes to my blog once law school begins. First and foremost, I’m sure I will be updating it quite a bit less frequently, out of sheer necessity. (This is going to be tough, since the November election is barely two months after I start, but I will have to restrain myself somehow in order to get my damn work done.) Also, although I’ll still be rooting like hell for the Trojans, the USC-related postings may take something of a hit, in order to avoid totally alienating Trojan-hating Domers.

I was, of course, wrong on both counts: if anything, I blogged more about USC once I got to ND, as I discovered the impish glee of being an Irish Trojan (and, yes, alienating the haters); and the overall frequency of my blogging increased during law school. In fact, it more than doubled. From April 2002-August 2004, I blogged 3,287 posts, or 113 per month. From September 2004-May 2007, I blogged 8,446 posts, or 256 per month.

This time, though, I’m pretty sure I won’t be wrong. No way am I going to be averaging 8-10 blog posts per day while clerking (and, ultimately, lawyering) and being a father. There just aren’t enough hours in the day. Perhaps the guestbloggers — whose help I originally enlisted precisely because of the anticipated, never-realized dropoff in my own blogging frequency during law school — will take on a bigger role. Or perhaps the whole blog will just become a bit less “hyperactive.” Probably a little of both. But what’s certain, for real this time, is that I’ll be spending less time on the blog. After all, as much as I love y’all, I’m pretty sure I’m going to love little Baby Loy more. :)




17 Comments on “The future, Conan? Pondering what’s next for the blog”

  1. PenguinSix Says:

    A Mac Mini in your house on a dedicated IP could handle 2,000 hits a day….Maybe even one of your old macs set up as a webserver only. Install PHP and MYSQL and de-install a lot of other junk to improve load times, etc.

    I think you went to a new server because you were really presssing the limits of shared space, but those limits vary from hoster to hoster. I’d hate to see you go through the conversion exercise once again to switch from one format to another (you could always rent from wordpress.com or whatever wordpress hosting site there is).

    There’s always google ads…or blogads.com or whatever. You’ll need the extra $$ for the little guy soon enough.

  2. Brendan Loy Says:

    It could handle 2,000 hits a day, sure, but so could a shared server, if that’s all that ever happened. The question is, could it handle an average of 2,000 hits per day which also includes 5,000-10,000 hits in a day when I get linked by InstaPundit? Or 30,000 hits if Katrina Redux happens? Or 100,000+ hits if I ever get linked by Drudge/Slashdot/etc.? I think probably not, and if not, it would not just crash my website, but our home Internet connection. That’s-a-no good.

    Also, managing my own server would, I assume, substantially increase the amount of technical back-end stuff I have to deal with. I might not have any free time left to actually blog. :)

    Google Ads made me very little revenue when I had them at the top of every page on the site — literally just spare change. A few dollars a month. Not worth the hassle. As for BlogAds, I’ve never tried it, but I sort of doubt I have enough of an audience to charge all that much. And even if I could make a decent amount, that isn’t really an argument for maintaining the dedicated server. As you say, I’ll “need the extra $$ for the little guy soon enough,” so it would make more sense to put the BlogAds on a Blogspot/TypePad blog, and actually use that money for the little guy, instead of dumping it into the server.

    I appreciate the suggestions, though. I just don’t think they ultimately work.

  3. Brendan Loy Says:

    P.S. I’d hate to see you go through the conversion exercise once again to switch from one format to another

    Me too. But I wouldn’t be going through the conversion exercise, because I wouldn’t be moving the old blog to the new location. I’d be leaving the old posts alone and starting from scratch on the new location (while still linking back to the old archives, of course).

    WordPress.com is a no-go because they don’t allow you to manually edit the templates. I.e., you can’t mess with the HTML. You can select from various different templates, but you can’t customize them.

  4. Nadine Says:

    Simplifying your server situation is a given, less time on technology issues and lower cost.

    The more interesting issue is what does having this blog provide you with. What need/want is it filling? Once you know that, then maximize those things at the lowest cost to you.

    Also, you and Becky are making HUGH changes in your lives. I’m a firm believer that making changes incrementally is normally the best way to allow for people and relationships to adapt. This blog has been a constant in your lives for quite awhile and that is a good thing for you two to share!

    I find it interesting that your blogging increased when you were at ND. I would have thought it would have been less because of all the intellectual discussions you were having in law school. I suspect blogging is a way for you to moderate your stress. Which if true would mean that you’ll be needing it even more during this next year!

  5. Toni Says:

    You will blog in the middle of the night because you will be up anyway!

    Relax Brendan, you will have time just in a different way…
    Don’t worry about every little thing.

  6. Jay Johnson Says:

    I see it now. Late night liveblogging feedings and diaper changes. Maybe a “Rockercam”…

  7. Briandot Says:

    I keep thinking about really convoluted solutions here — like a distributed system with round-robin web servers hanging off of Comcast connections, a central MySQL server on a dedicated server, and you, with an iPhone (or a blackberry, since you were not super impressed with the text input on the iPhone), constantly blogging on the go.

    You’d simply never get to sit down for more than 5 minutes at a time.
    :)

  8. Sean Says:

    I think the new blog on a different server sounds best.

    Meanwhile, I’m getting rid of my home internet for at least two months, possibly longer, to save money I don’t have. So I’ll be posting even less of the tip of the iceberg of my thoughts, if at all.

  9. dcl Says:

    the Mac Mini concept is actually a viable idea. A MacMini (you might want to spring for OSX server for it (yes, I realize it costs more than the mini) is fully capable of saturating a T1 line (1.5ish megs upload) which is more than most cable or DSL connections will give you as they are asynchronous. Keep in mind that a saturated upload connection is a saturated upload connection. You won’t kill your home internet because of it the worst that happens is that people trying to load your site get a time out error. The Mini itself should be just fine–it can’t serve more hits than it can get requests for and respond to–all limited by that upload connection. In this type of scenario you would want to rig your home network pretty carefully though–and probably set aside a chunk of your upload connection dedicated to no web serving stuff–so you can still do whatever it is you want to do online, even if the server is slammed.

    Major downside of this, you have to deal with network admin stuff (even more of a pain in the arse than server admin) and deal with the various nefarious things that happen on the interweb–denial of service attacks and the like.

  10. richie rich Says:

    hang it up dude… put a bow on this blog and ride into the sunset. You’ll be too busy. Devote your spare time to your family.

  11. Sean Says:

    Also, if you get rid of all us guest-bloggers and disable comments, that’ll save you tons of time. :-)

  12. Briandot Says:

    I was thinking that if he had nothing but guest bloggers, he’d have more time. It’d be like Wonkette, where he becomes essentially a blogger-emeritus. :)

  13. Kristin Says:

    Cue Michael Bolton’s “How am I Supposed to Live Without You?”

    :)

  14. Andrew Says:

    I echo richie rich — you have far bigger things in life beckoning you. You’d also help the rest of us get our non-virtual lives back as well. ;-)

  15. Ruth Says:

    Forgive me, Brendan, I know little of servers or paying for space in the virtual world, but it seems you love writing and sharing your ideas and experiences with all of your readers. I cannot imagine this urge will go away with clerking or the arrival of little Baby Loy! Move to a new server if it makes things easier for you; change the blog to reflect the new chapter in your life.
    That aside, I don’t think you could stop writing if you tried! ;-)

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