The Atlantic hurricane season officially starts today. Various forecasts say it’ll be a active season. Of course, the forecasts said that last season, too, and then the forecasters were blindsided by Saharan dust and El Niño, proving once again that global warming is a fraud global warming is real WE’RE ALL GOING TO DIE long-term weather forecasting is, like, hard. And stuff.
Anyway, it’s nice to see a bit less hysterical hype accompanying the start of the season this year. Last year’s media circus surrounding June 1 was rather silly. As this post’s title states (and as I pointed out last year, too), there is nothing particularly special about the date June 1; the difference between May 31 and June 1, in terms of the likelihood of tropical formation, is no more drastic than the difference between June 1 and 2, or the difference between May 30 and 31. The first day of June is just an arbitrary cutoff date set by meteorological bureaucrats, and as Subtropical Storm Andrea proved, Mother Nature is under no obligation to pay attention to the meteorologists’ calendar.
The only thing that really changes today is that the National Hurricane Center starts issuing regular Tropical Weather Outlooks (at 5:30 AM, 11:30 AM, 5:30 PM and 10:30 PM). Here’s the second one of the season. It talks about a broad, disorganized area of low pressure over the Gulf of Mexico that is unlikely to develop into anything, although “only a small increase in the organization could bring the system to tropical or subtropical cyclone status.”
Well, actually, there’s at least one other thing that changes today. In recognition of the start of hurricane season, I moved my weather blogroll to the top of the right-hand column. :)
UPDATE: So much for “meaningless”! For the first time since 1968, a tropical storm has formed on June 1. Heh.
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Categories: 2007 Hurricane Season
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June 1st, 2007 at 4:07:36 pm
Stop blogging and help me unpack, yon lazy husband!
June 1st, 2007 at 4:10:01 pm
Harumph.
June 1st, 2007 at 4:31:07 pm
Awww. You’re adorable when you’re cranky.
June 1st, 2007 at 4:43:04 pm
Heh. I’m getting similar comments from the wifey here with regard to yard work that needs to get done.
June 1st, 2007 at 4:46:58 pm
My NHC email just indicated TS Barry heading for the West Coast of Florida. Once I saw it wasn’t me I didn’t read the rest…
June 1st, 2007 at 7:52:13 pm
“…it’s nice to see a bit less hysterical hype accompanying the start of the season this year. Last year’s media circus surrounding June 1 was rather silly.”
From my customary Monitoring of The Cable “News”ies I’d say it’s not so much that They’ve gotten suddenly Serious meteorologically, as it is that they’ve got themselves a Scarier horse to Ride just now: Tuberculosis Andy :}, the Georgia Lawyer whose terroristic travels have triggered the Great TB Pandemic of 2007 ;> and caused Wolf Blitzer to Agonize about everybody’s Mental Anguish :].
But at least the upcoming Multiple Overlapping Investigations will ensure that such an inexcusable Failure of the International Mandatory Quarantine System can Never Happen Again. ;|