With #1-seed Wright State taking on #2-seed Butler in the Horizon League championship game tonight at 9:00 PM on ESPN, one thing is certain: somebody’s bubble is going to burst. The only question is whether it’ll be an NCAA bubble or an NIT bubble. Butler is dancing no matter what, so if Wright State wins tonight, they “steal” an NCAA bid, and the Horizon becomes a two-bid NCAA league and a zero-bid NIT league. That means somebody’s NCAA bubble — perhaps Missouri State, perhaps Clemson, perhaps Illinois, perhaps Old Dominion — will burst. On the other hand, if Butler wins, that bumps Wright State, the Horizon’s regular-season champion, down to an automatic NIT bid, “stealing” a bid from some NIT bubble team, like perhaps Northern Iowa, UConn, LSU, or two-time defending champion South Carolina.

Also on tap tonight: the Mid-Continent Conference title game (#1 Oral Roberts vs #2 Oakland, 7:00 PM, ESPN) and the Sun Belt title game (#2 Arkansas State vs. #5 North Texas, 9:00 PM, ESPN2). Neither game has NCAA bubble implications — both will be one-bid conferences — but an Oakland victory would swallow up another NIT bubble bid, sending Oral Roberts down to the Little Dance. (You may remember Oral Roberts as the fashionable pick last year to become the first #16 seed ever to beat a #1, though as it turns out, they didn’t come nearly as close as Albany did. This year, they’re widely projected as a #13, #14 or #15 seed in the NCAA Tournament, assuming they win tonight.)

Meanwhile, on the women’s side of things, the UConn women play Rutgers for the Big East championship tonight at 7:00 PM on ESPN2. The Huskies have made it to the Big East title game 17 of the last 19 seasons, which, according to Kyle Whelliston’s logic vis a vis Gonzaga, means they need to find themselves a better conference.

Looking a little further ahead, here’s a list of big games tomorrow and Thursday, from the perspective of Brendan Loy’s giant list o’ favorite and quasi-favorite teams:

• UConn vs. Syracuse (Big East first round), 2:00 PM Wednesday, ESPN
• Buffalo vs. Central Michigan (MAC first round), 5:00 PM Wednesday, live radio
• Central Connecticut State vs. Sacred Heart (NEC title game), 7:30 PM Wednesday, ESPN2
• Notre Dame vs. UConn/Syracuse (Big East quarterfinal), 2:00 PM Thursday, ESPN
• USC vs. Stanford (Pac-10 quarterfinal), 9:00 PM Thursday, FSN / Comcast
• Tennessee vs. LSU (SEC first round), 9:45 PM Thursday, ESPN Full Court