Less than three hours till the Selection Show (WOOOHOOO!!!!), and the Official BrendanLoy.com Bubble Scoresheet is ready for download. You can get the PDF version here or the Word version here.

For purposes of the scoresheet, I’ve defined the bubble quite broadly. I would be shocked if any of the “probably in” teams didn’t make it, and I’d be equally shocked if any of the “probably out” teams did. But you never know. Last year, Air Force was on the “probably out” list and Cincinnati was on the “probably in” list, and we all know how that turned out. The committee can be unpredictable, so it’s better to list all the teams they might plausibly consider including (or excluding).

Anyway, I recommend printing out the scoresheet and marking it up throughout the Selection Show; I found it very helpful last year for keeping track of the implications of the selections as the show went on. After the jump, an HTML version.

UPDATE, 5:43 PM: Joe Lunardi changed his projections at the last moment, and now has Arkansas in ahead of Kansas State. I’ve adjusted the scoresheet accordingly.

The Official BrendanLoy.com Bubble Scoresheet

11 of these teams will get in:

PROBABLY IN (6)
__ Arizona
__ Georgia Tech
__ Indiana
__ Michigan State
__ Syracuse
__ Xavier

BUBBLE (12)
(If all “probably in” teams are in, and all “probably out” teams are out, then 5 of these 12 get in.)
__ Air Force
__ Arkansas*
__ Drexel*
__ Florida State
__ Illinois**
__ Kansas State**
__ Missouri State
__ Old Dominion**
__ Purdue*
__ Stanford*
__ Texas Tech*
__ West Virginia

* = in according to Joe Lunardi
** = Lunardi’s last three out

PROBABLY OUT (11)
__ Akron
__ Alabama
__ Appalachian State
__ Bradley
__ Clemson
__ DePaul
__ Michigan
__ Mississippi
__ Mississippi State
__ Oklahoma State
__ UMass