Let’s have an election contest (or two)!

With just over a week until Election Day (a term which is becoming anachronistic anyway, as more and more Americans vote early), it’s time to start accepting entries in the BrendanLoy.com Midterm Election Contests!

There are two separate contests: one for the House and one for the Senate. In each, the object of the game is to correctly predict the Democratic net gain or loss. There are various tiebreakers, which will become clear once you look at the entry form. Click here to enter. Please read the instructions closely, especially in the Senate contest, as you’ll want to make sure your net gain/loss prediction and your “first tiebreaker” prediction (which involves predicting individual states) are internally consistent.

Helpful resources:
Pollster.com
RealClearPolitics Senate Races
RealClearPolitics Battle for the House
Majority Watch (House map)
Electoral-vote.com (Senate map)
Electoral-vote.com Hot House Races
Cook Political Report
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Rothenberg Political Report

The deadline to enter the contest is 11:59 PM on Monday, November 6.

6 Responses to “Let’s have an election contest (or two)!”

  1. Brian Foster says:

    For the “margin of victory” tiebreakers, just to be absolutely clear: is our answer supposed to be the result, rounded to the nearest whole number, of Lieberman’s percentage minus Lamont’s percentage, and Donnelly’s percentage minus Chocola’s percentage, respectively?

  2. Brendan Loy says:

    (Unless the margin of victory is, say, 0.2%, in which case your answer should be 1. Or -1, if we’re talking about a Chocola/Lamont victory.)

  3. V says:

    I think you’ve hit a new level of nerdiness with this…

  4. Angrier and Angrier says:

    I have to agree with V. I love politics, but don’t think I’m going to get into this.

  5. Brendan Loy says:

    Your loss. We’ve already got 17 entries and counting. That’s almost one per hour since I posted this. :)

    You can’t win if you don’t play! Who knows, you could have been the next Mike Wiser!