Here are the scenarios — who the leaders will be, and who will still be alive to win the 11th annual Living Room Times men’s NCAA pool — for Saturday’s two regional finals:

NOTE: The number in parentheses is the number of scenarios (out of 32) in which each contestant would win (including ties).

IF LSU & MEMPHIS WIN
Leaders: Tran 286, Bullard 277, Long 274, Eng 267, Scarborough 267
Still alive: Tran (9), Scarborough (7), Wiser (6), Pugh (3), Johnson (3), Bullard (2), D. Kreutz (2), Eng (1), Long (1)

IF LSU & UCLA WIN
Leaders: Tran 301, Long 289, Eng 282, Pugh 272, D. Kreutz 267
Still alive: Tran (18), Long (5), D. Kreutz (3), Pugh (3), Wiser (3), Eng (1)

IF TEXAS & MEMPHIS WIN
Standings: Pugh 272, Tran 271, Eng 267, Jackson 265, Johnson 265
Still alive: Pugh (12), Johnson (9), Greca (5), Tran (4), Jackson (2), Scarborough (1), Lucht (1)

IF TEXAS & UCLA WIN
Standings: Pugh 287, Tran 286, Eng 282, Long 274, A. Kreutz 264
Still alive: Pugh (14), Tran (13), Long (2), Huffman (1), Eng (1), Timbrell (1)

So, in summary…

* Mike Tran and Logan Pugh stay alive no matter what.
* Ben Eng and Andrew Long need either LSU or UCLA to win.
* David Kreutz and Matt Wiser need LSU to win.
* Jay Johnson and Matt Scarborough need Memphis to win.
* Kirby Bullard needs LSU and Memphis to win.
* Tom Greca, Edward Jackson and Paul Lucht need Texas and Memphis to win.
* Tim Huffman and Peter Timbrell need Texas and UCLA to win.