Here’s the latest forecast track. It’s shifted slightly to the left, but the Florida panhandle is still seen as the likely target. Most of the computer models agree, though the exact location is up in the air, which is not surprising for a landfall that’s 3 to 4 days away.
The intensity forecast conservatively brings Katrina to 105 mph at landfall, but the discussion says, “It is certainly possible that Katrina could attain major hurricane status [i.e., 111 mph+] before making landfall somewhere on the northern Gulf Coast.”
