Perhaps my perception is warped, seeing as how I’m playing Wonkette’s drinking game (and there have been a lot of references to terrorism, Bin Laden and Hussein, so I’ve already had quite a bit to drink), but I think Kerry is doing surprisingly well so far.
Bush quote of the day: “That’s not what commander-in-chiefs does.”
UPDATE: I’m pretty drunk right now, but I thought the debate was roughly a draw. Thoughts?
UPDATE 2: We’re watching Fox News, and the spin is pretty pro-Kerry. So it sounds like maybe Kerry won the debate.
UPDATE 3: CNN’s (obviously very unscientific) internet poll shows Kerry winning the debate 91% to 8% so far.
I’m too drunk to fully comprehend Hugh Hewitt’s “debate scorecard,” but he, on the other hand, thinks Bush won.
UPDATE 4: The MSNBC poll says Kerry won, 73% to 27%.
UPDATE 5: A less positive verdict from Jeff Jarvis, a likely Kerry voter:
I’ve said that I was a “likely Kerry voter” … How likely? Weeks ago, I’d have put that at, oh, 85 percent: not wildly enthusiastic, perhaps, but OK with the decision. Recently, that number has fallen to, say, 75 percent. …
[The debate] made me more unsure about Kerry. He sounds more like Howard Dean and I didn’t want to vote for Dean. He had my likely vote; it was his to lose. He hasn’t lost it … yet. …
So how likely am I now? Peg me at 65 percent and note the trendline. The next debates and the next weeks matter. The election isn’t over for me or for millions and millions of voters. We’re the real pollsters and our results are not in yet.
Fellow swing voter Becky says she’ll tell me her reaction to the debate tomorrow. She has to “sleep on it.”
Of course, by tomorrow we’ll be thinking about Notre Dame vs. Purdue, not Bush vs. Kerry… :)
David says his mom “moved from an Anything but Bush to a For Kerry voter tonight.”
LAST UPDATE BEFORE I
PASS OUT GO TO SLEEP: Andrew Sullivan weighs in:
The impact? Kerry has to gain, I think. At the very least, this was a draw on the president’s most favorable turf. I saw it among a group of Dartmouth college students that was mainly pro-Kerry but had a solid pro-Bush presence. It’s odd to hear them laughing out loud at their president; and groaning openly at some of Kerry’s remarks. Afterward, only the Bush supporters seemed concerned that their candidate had lost ground. They should be. Watching Bush last night, I saw a president who isn’t really in control of his office, a man who couldn’t and didn’t defend the conduct of the war except to say that it was “hard work,” who seemed defensive and occasionally rattled. He had some strong points; and I agree with him on the basic matter of whether we should have gone to war. But the argument that we might be better changing horses in the middle of an increasingly deep and troubled river gained traction last night. In some ways, this might turn out to be a version of the 1980 Carter-Reagan match, when Reagan was able [to show], by his persona and presence, that he was up to the job. Yes, Bush is not as bad as Carter and Kerry is no Reagan. But the dynamic was somewhat similar. In other words, Kerry gets back in the game. And edges up a little.
CORRECTION: I’M STILL CONSCIOUS: Conscious enough, at least, to point out that Kaus says Kerry won. “[S]hockingly succinct and sharp. … If he doesn’t get a one or two point boost in the polls, I’ll be very surprised.”