Frances evacuation update: 1.2 million. That’s roughly 7.5% of the population of the state of Florida.
Imagine if Saturday (the expected landfall date) were election day. It makes all that talk about election disaster contingency planning seem less like a vast right-wing conspiracy, and more like a real and very serious potential problem, doesn’t it?
Although Frances continues to have a good satellite representation, data from a reconnaissance plane indicate that the minimum pressure has risen to 948 mb [from 939 mb] and the eyewall is currently disrupted. … This is probably a minor fluctuation associated with inner core processes and Frances could easily re-intensify.
Regardless, it is expected to hit Florida as a Category Four. The computer models have now converged on a landfall somewhere in south-central Florida. The official forecast track puts it near Fort Pierce at around 2:00 PM EDT Saturday.
In other news, T.D. Nine has formed way out in the tropical Atlantic.
P.S. Mickey Mouse, beware: Orlando may be hit hard by Frances.