Look out, Florida:
Hurricane Frances is now a Category Four hurricane, and she’s got a weekend date with the Florida coast.
The latest National Hurricane Center discussion contains this interesting detail:
One disturbing piece of information is that all of the [computer] models…excluding the GFDL and GFDN [both of which are forecasting a South Carolina landfall, but are believed at the moment to be erroneous]…agree that Frances will slow down to less than 10 kt after 72 hours…and the GFS even reduces the forward speed to 4 kt in 96 hr. This suggests that steering currents may briefly collapse as Frances approaches the northwestern Bahamas and the Florida East Coast.
In other words, Frances may just sit and spin for a while offshore of Florida, producing all sorts of severe storm surge and flooding problems.