By Brendan Loy
Tonight, starting sometime between 6:30 and 7:00 PM Mountain Time, I’ll be live-tweeting from a Colorado GOP Precinct Caucus at Denver West High School (PDF map) as an “observer.” (They allow that.) Then, I’ll drive two miles down the road and, continuing my rally-hopping ways, I will attend Mitt Romney’s victory party. Should be fun! My tweets will all appear here, along with any tweets directed at me, and anything I retweet:
By Brendan Loy
I haven’t blogged here very much this season about University of Denver basketball — I’ve kept that over at Mile High Mids and the Mid-Majority — but Saturday’s game experience was pretty epic, as Denver upset Middle Tennessee State in front of a national TV audience, and the students (and DU Bally and I) rushed the court. You can read all about it here.
By Brendan Loy
For most of us, myself included, today is Super Bowl Sunday. But for some in the quirky Mid-Majority cult community, it’s the start of Last Man — or, if you prefer, #lastman — the annual game of trying to avoid learning the result of the Super Bowl (a.k.a. #TheKnowledge) for as long as possible. You might remember this from last year.
Kyle Whelliston, the originator of the game, apparently will not be publicly participating via Twitter this year, but some others will be. I’ve created a liveblog window to track all tweets (give or take a few that CoverItLive drops; its Twitter search engine can be a bit wonky) using the hashtags #lastman, #findthelastman, or #theknowledge.
Good luck, Knowledge Runners! And to everyone else, enjoy the game! Go Giants!
By Brendan Loy
With the GOP race still nominally undecided (though, c’mon, we all know how this ends), the Colorado Caucuses next Tuesday have become important, and as a result, we’ve got candidates in town! Yay! For a political junkie like yours truly, this is obviously exciting. So, on Tuesday, I went to a Ron Paul rally in Denver, and on Wednesday, I went to a Rick Santorum rally in Colorado Springs. :)
Lest you think this is odd, recall that I went to an Obama rally and a Palin rally in the last three days before the 2008 election. Heh.
Anyway, after the jump, via Storify, my archived live-tweeting of both rallies (including selected replies), with lots of photos and some videos. (Just keep scrolling, and the embedded Storify window will keep expanding as you scroll down.)
By Brendan Loy
On this night of Gingrich triumph and GOP establishment #PANIC, it’s worth looking back to last May, when Newt’s campaign was an unmitigated disaster, and a subject of abject mockery from sea to shining sea, as best represented by this utterly hilarious Stephen Colbert / John Lithgow clip:
P.S. Romney’s still gonna win the nomination, y’know. Still about a 90% chance of that, I’d say, Intrade’s crazy numbers be damned. And the idea that Gingrich will win it… that’s still so implausible, I staked a dinner bet on the fact that it won’t happen.
By Brendan Loy
On my commute home this afternoon, I’ll fulfill my annual Martin Luther King Day tradition of taking 17 minutes every third Monday in January to listen to the “I Have a Dream” speech in its entirety. Some part(s) of it never fails to give me goosebumps.
Dr. King’s actual birthday was yesterday; he would have been 83 years old.
By Brendan Loy
The official announcement will come tomorrow. Alas. (Below: the “ticket to ride.”)
Huntsman was the best potential president in the GOP field, but his incompetent campaign and personal douchiness (to use the technical political-science term) eliminated any chance he had of overcoming the RINO-ish parts of his biography and platform to seriously challenge for the nomination. My lyrical Twitter farewell:
A long, long time ago
I can still remember how that Mormon used to make me smile
And I knew that if he had his chance, he’d see his poll numbers advance
And maybe he’d lead Romney for a while
But losing to Ron Paul made me shiver
His potential he could not deliver
Bad news on the Twitter
Before long he’d be a quitter
I can’t remember if I cried
When I heard that soon he’d step aside
But something touched me deep inside
The day #HUNTSMENTUM died
So bye-bye, RINO governor guy
Playing the centrist in the primaries was not gonna fly
The Grand Ol’ boys that you so love to decry
Are sayin’ this will be the day that you die
This will be the day that you die
By Brendan Loy
Well, yesterday was certainly a dramatic night in New Hampshire, but with 294 of 301 precincts reporting, it appears we finally have a result. Drumroll please:
Ed Cowan 934 (1.59%)
Vermin Supreme 823 (1.40%)
Ed Cowan of Waterbury, Vermont gets his ticket to ride! On to South Carolina!
Meanwhile, the all-important battle for third place remains too close to call:
Randall Terry 444 (0.75%)
John Haywood 424 (0.72%)
Cornelius O’Connor 420 (0.71%)
Craig “Tax Freeze” Freis 397 (0.67%)
Who will get the momentum? Who will get a third-place bounce? OH THE SUSPENSE! Hold me, Wolf Blitzer!
I’m referring, of course, to “third place” in the battle to be the Democratic runner-up to President Obama in the New Hamsphire Democratic Presidential Primary — a battle won by the seemingly earnest Mr. Cowan, despite a late, Drudge-fueled charge by the inimitable and hilarious Mr. Supreme (who I met in L.A. at the DNC protests when I was in college; somewhere I still have “Vermin Supreme 2000″ bumpersticker).
President Obama, for his part, presently has 48,115 of the 58,923 ballots cast, or 81.7%. That’s slightly better than George W. Bush did as an incumbent in the 2004 New Hampshire GOP primary; he got 79.6%.
Incidentally, if it seems like these numbers don’t add up, that’s because another 5,889 votes, or 9.99%, went to assorted write-ins, likely including such esteemed candidates as — I’m just guessing here — Mickey Mouse, Donald Duck, Hillary Clinton, and Tim Tebow.
By the way, I was just kidding about “on to South Carolina.” Obama’s the only candidate on the ballot there.
P.S. Oh yeah, the Republicans had a primary in New Hampshire last night too. Instead of #HUNTSMENTUM, it was #HUNTSMAGEDDON, though Huntsman doesn’t seem to recognize that yet. Oh, well. At least his daughters are pretty.
Meanwhile, I, for one, welcome our new Flip-Flopping Robo-Mormon Overlord. #RomneyHaters4Romney unite!
By Brendan Loy
Can you feel the #HUNTSMENTUM tonight? They’re feeling it in Dixville Notch!
Republican voters in the “First in the Nation” hamlet, which quadrennially opens its polls at midnight and closes them at ~12:01 AM after everyone in town has voted, gave two votes each to Mitt Romney and Jon Huntsman, for the first tie since 1980, when Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush got 5 votes apiece. Nate Silver may say Huntsman has just a 0.4% chance to win tomorrow, but in Dixville Notch, it’s a 50/50 proposition!
Yes, it was high drama as America’s silliest democratic tradition took place. And CNN’s Steve Urkel was there:
If only Huntsman had worked harder to convert the town’s Paul voter, or perhaps its Gingrich voter, he could be seeing “HUNTSMAN WINS DIXVILLE NOTCH” headlines right now. That’d be some bankable #Huntsmentum!
Of course, in the other midnight-voting New Hampshire hamlet, it was a different story: Hart’s Location went Romney 5, Paul 4, Huntsman 2, Perry 1, Gingrich 1. But as Huntsman is no doubt saying, “They pick their noses in Hart’s Location. They actually pick presidents in Dixville Notch.” Or something like that. :)
(Top twitpic by @mzwrite.)
P.S. Here’s my previous Dixville Notch blog coverage…
2004 primary: here, here, here and here.
By Brendan Loy
Yesterday, I, a generally pro-Obama left-centrist, called Obama’s “non-recess recess” appointment of Richard Cordray an unjustifiable abuse of power. Now, here comes conservative/libertarian blogger Dale Franks, defending President Obama on the issue — “as distateful as it is to me.”
Here’s the blog post. It’s well worth a read if you care about this issue. Money quote:
At the very least, a colorable argument can be made that the mere existence of pro-forma sessions held for the specific purpose of disallowing recess appointments, during a time when the Senate is unable to meet to discharge its advice and consent functions, is itself an unconstitutional usurpation of the president’s Constitutional powers. There is nothing in the Constitution to indicate the president’s recess appointment power is any less important than the Senate’s advice and consent power.
“So it is far from clear,” Franks adds, “that it was the President, rather than the Senate, who was acting in a manner that violated the Constitutional separation of powers.”
Anticipating the obvious objection (“but Senator Obama participated in pro-forma sessions to block Bush appointments!”), Franks also notes:
Whatever the actual practice has been in terms of when presidents made recess appointments, or whether presidents in the past have accepted the practice of pro forma sessions, or even whether someone argued a different view about such appointments in the past, is entirely irrelevant. It might be instructive to know these things in order to make personal judgments about the character of the respective parties, but it has nothing whatsoever to do with the constitutional issues at hand.
I’m not sure if “nothing whatsoever” is quite right, but he’s got a point in that informal precedent and practice with respect to constitutional (or perhaps I should say “Constitution-related”) norms isn’t the same thing as a Supreme Court decision definitively interpreting the Constitution. Not by a long shot.
Anyway, read the whole thing. I don’t know if I’m totally convinced, but Franks does a better job defending Obama’s action than I’ve seen the president himself, or Jay Carney, or Nancy Pelosi, or anyone else on the Left do. Of course, whereas Franks is focusing with laser-like precision on the constitutional issues, those folks have to worry about “personal judgments about the character of the respective parties” — i.e., themselves — so they’re less likely to call attention to the details, and more likely to make broad-brush populist arguments that conceal the underlying point.
But if all that can be said about Obama here is that he’s being a hypocrite, and that he’s engaging in rhetorical sleight of hand to distract from that hypocrisy…well, that’s on par with noting that the Sun rose in the East this morning, and Grant is buried in Grant’s Tomb, and the SEC is a WAR!!! Obama’s a politician. Of course he’s a hypocrite, especially when it comes to matters of procedure. Virtually all politicians are. There is no moral high ground between the two sides when it comes to procedural matters. Everyone advances whatever argument suits their short-term interests at the moment. As someone who cares about procedure, I think that’s a damn shame, but it’s the reality.
By Brendan Loy
President Obama yesterday exercised his “recess appointment” powers to appoint Richard Cordray, whose nomination had previously been blocked by the Senate GOP, as the head of the newly created Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
There’s only one problem with this: Congress isn’t in recess.
Congressional Republicans have ensured that Congress technically remains “in session” throughout the winter break by holding brief pro forma sessions every few days, precisely to prevent Obama from making recess appointments. This action is arguably outside the spirit of the rules regarding congressional recesses and presidential recess appointments, but it’s within the letter of those rules — or at least, it was widely acknowledged until now to be within the letter of those rules, including by Senator Obama and other Senate Democrats who pulled this exact same stunt to prevent President Bush from making recess appointments late in his term. Unless I’m very much mistaken, Bush never reacted to this gambit by pretending Congress was in “recess” when it was actually still in session. Bush made recess appointments, yes, but only when Congress was actually in recess.
Now, as President Obama would say, let me be clear. Senate Republicans should not be blocking nominees willy-nilly, and especially should not be blocking the appointment of the head of a new agency simply because, in essence, they don’t think the agency should exist. They lost that legislative fight, the agency does exist, and if the GOP wants to change that, they need to pass a law eliminating the agency. In the mean time, the president should have the right to appoint people to fill the vacancies in the new agency, and so long as those people are basically qualified and competent and not drastically outside the political mainstream, they should be confirmed. Of course, both parties have been flagrantly violating that principle for years now, but that’s how it should be. Moreover, I’d say there’s something particularly subversive about undermining recently passed Acts of Congress by stonewalling the nominees necessary to allow the newly created agency to function. So in that sense, the Republicans are, in my view, clearly in the wrong on Cordray.
But two wrongs don’t make a right, especially when the second wrong is an possibly unconstitutional, “unprecedented power grab,” as John Boehener put it. And it’s made worse by Obama’s stated rationale, which is political rather than consitutional:
But when Congress refuses to act, and as a result, hurts our economy and puts our people at risk, then I have an obligation as President to do what I can without them. (Applause.) I’ve got an obligation to act on behalf of the American people. And I’m not going to stand by while a minority in the Senate puts party ideology ahead of the people that we were elected to serve. (Applause.) Not with so much at stake, not at this make-or-break moment for middle-class Americans. We’re not going to let that happen. (Applause.)
That’s not a legal or constitutional argument, it’s a populist rallying cry — and in this context, I’d call it demagoguery. It brings to mind, for me, this exchange from A Man For All Seasons:
Alice: Arrest him!
Thomas: Why, what has he done?
Margaret: He’s bad!
Thomas: There is no law against that.
Richard: There is! God’s law!
Thomas: Then God can arrest him.
Alice: While you talk, he’s gone!
Thomas: And go he should, if he was the Devil himself, until he broke the law!
Richard: So now you’d give the Devil benefit of law!
Thomas: Yes. What would you do? Cut a great road through the law to get after the Devil?
Richard: I’d cut down every law in England to do that!
Thomas: Oh? And when the last law was down, and the Devil turned ’round on you, where would you hide, Roper, the laws all being flat? This country’s planted thick with laws from coast to coast -– man’s laws, not God’s -– and if you cut them down — and you’re just the man to do it — do you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then? Yes, I’d give the Devil benefit of law, for my own safety’s sake.
Obviously, I’m not saying that Republicans are the Devil, or that President Obama or Richard Cordray or the CFPB is God. Nor am I suggesting that this one action by Obama will single-handedly destroy American government, nor that the Obama Administration is a “lawless” regime, as some on the Right are hyperbolically claiming. As “constitutional crises” go, this is a relatively minor one. It’s not even totally clear to me that the Constitution, as opposed to decades of informal precedent regarding the interpretation of the Constitution, has been violated.
But even if it’s “only” decades of informal constitutional precedent that have been violated, that violation — for explicitly political reasons, supported by populist rhetoric — is still wrong, no matter how much the GOP is also wrong (in a more pedestrian, everyday political sense) to have blocked the Cordray nomination in the first place. And to defend a legal or constitutional wrong with populist political rhetoric is, arguably, even worse. That’s dangerous. That way lies true lawlessness, crisis and authoritarianism. It’s a long, long way down the road — but that’s the direction the road leads. And Obama shouldn’t be leading us in that direction, no matter how frustrating the GOP’s tactics are.
Moreover, even if you don’t buy the argument that this move is structurally wrong in a manner that infringes upon separation of powers and whatnot, it’s still politically unwise and short-sighted. Just as with the breakdown of the old way of handling judicial and other appointments, just as with the ever increasing abuse of the filibuster, just as with the questionable (but legal) tactic of holding brief “sessions” to prevent recess appointments from ever happening, one party breaking the rules (or the spirit thereof) will embolden the other party to do exactly the same thing when they’re in power. Do the Democrats really believe President Romney in 2013, or President Christie in 2017, won’t do exactly the same thing President Obama is doing now? The Democrats just gave away, forever, their power to block recess appointments by Republican presidents — all to get Richard Cordray in office. Was it worth it? Really? Another Man for All Seasons quote comes to mind:
It profits a man nothing to give his soul for the whole world … but for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau?
In my view, as a generally Obama-supportive centrist, the president has two choices. He must either acknowledge his error and retract the recess appointment, or he must convincingly explain his legal and constitutional (not political) rationale for this move, and do so in a way that either harmonises his action with past precedent or explains why he now believes that precedent, which he previously supported, should be cast aside.
If he does neither, as will likely be the case, then he is and will remain in the wrong on this. It’s not the most grievous abuse of power in presidential history; indeed it probably doesn’t even make the “others receiving votes” category of the rankings thereof. But it’s wrong, and it’s dangerous, and fair-minded liberals should condemn it.
By Brendan Loy
Congratulations to Nyghtewynd, who clinched victory in the 7th annual Living Room Times Bowl Pick ‘em Contest when West Virginia routed Clemson 70-33 tonight in the Orange Bowl.
More details to come tomorrow.
By Brendan Loy
Becky and I may be mired near the bottom of the 7th annual LRT Bowl Pick ‘em Contest standings — currently in 34th and 36th place, respectively, out of 39 — but there’s one member of the family who still has a chance to win, and a pretty good chance at that: our 2 1/2 year old daughter, “Loyacita.”
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