Daily Archives: January 31, 2011

Post-midterm approval ratings: about as meaningful as preseason football polls

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From a FiveThirtyEight post on presidential approval ratings and re-election chances, a nifty chart: “What does this mean for Barack Obama?” Nate Silver asks rhetorically, then answers: Right now, we’re still in the period where the most useful number for estimating his re-election chances is not his approval rating but rather the historical track record of incumbent presidents. … [S]ince… Read more »

What he said.

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At the end of a fantastic column about Egypt, Ross Douthat says something I was trying to say recently, and says it better: The long-term consequences of a more populist and nationalistic Egypt might be better for the United States than the stasis of the Mubarak era, and the terrorism that it helped inspire. But then again they might be… Read more »