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By Brendan Loy (Twitter/FriendFeed)

Updated @fivethirtyeight World Cup odds: Brazil 24.50%, Spain 18.37%, Argentina 18.02%, Uruguay 11.65%, Netherlands 10.61%, Germany 9.62%, Ghana 3.89%, Paraguay 3.33% … I suspect Netherlands would be favored vs. Uruguay in semis, but Uruguay has higher odds because Netherlands has much tougher quarterfinal opponent (Brazil rather than Ghana).

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