| 2012 presidential election results: Obama 332 Romney 206 Electoral College Contest standings: Page 1 | Page 2 126t. James Owens (@jco4d) Alexandria, VA Party: Supports: 471 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.6% (48.9% to 50.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.45% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1101500 Why the support for ? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 126t. Sarah Craddock (@sarahhcraddock) Fort Collins, CO Party: Democrat Supports: Barack Obama (D) 471 points (out of 538) States wrong: IN (11), ME2 (1), NC (15), NV (6), OH (18), UT (6)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Obama Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 217 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Florida Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 4.7% (51.6% to 46.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.47% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1342645 Why the support for Barack Obama (D)? College/school? Minn State Mankato - 2004, B.A. Sociology Western Illinois Univ - 2006, M.S. College Student Personnel in progress: Univ of Northern Colorado - 2015 (anticipated) , Ph.D. Higher Education & Student Affairs Leadership How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? He was live tweeting a game I couldn't see a while back. Anything else? BCS champ: LSU 128. Jeff Vaca (@jvcalbear) Elk Grove, CA Party: Democrat Supports: Barack Obama (D) 470 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NM (5), OH (18)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 236 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 0.5% (49.4% to 48.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1.7% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1279537 Why the support for Barack Obama (D)? I think he's better than the alternative (hardly a ringing endorsement, and a close call). College/school? UC Berkeley, 1982, B.A. in Political Science How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Been following since Katrina. Anything else? Mostly a wild guess! BCS champ: Oregon 129t. Kari Sullivan (@starrykari) Austin, TX Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 469 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), PA (20), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.6% (48.5% to 50.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.82% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1105000 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? I'm a libertarian College/school? University of Colorado, Economics, 1996 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Facebook Anything else? BCS champ: 129t. Ken Fowler (@kenfowler86) Durham, NC Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 469 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IA (6), NE2 (1), PA (20), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 4.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 236 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Pennsylvania Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -0.2% (49.5% to 49.7%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.8% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1204034 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? HHS Mandate College/school? Notre Dame (undergrad), CUNY-Lehman College (education masters), Duke (law) How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? ndnation, PANIC, etc. Anything else? Felons should be allowed to vote. BCS champ: Notre Dame 129t. Melissa Clouthier (@melissatweets) Spring, Texas Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 469 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 4 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 233 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.6% (47.7% to 51.3%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 2.06% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1065342 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? I feel that he has the ability to create an economic/regulatory environment favorable to creating jobs. He'll trim the excess of Obamacare. He'll put out a clearer foreign policy message. College/school? Post grad- DC at New York Chiropractic College How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Friend. Anything else? Well, WI and PA are within the margin but this is a presidential election and so, the Dems will get out the vote. Still, I think we could be surprised in those two states and in Iowa. BCS champ: Alabama 129t. Nathan Davis (@dynamoned) McEwen Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 469 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 4 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 54 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 251 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.1% (48.5% to 50.6%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.5% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1104793 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Most closely aligns with my political views College/school? Belmont Univ. - 4 years, B.S. Computer Science, Math Austin Peay State Univ. - 3 years, M.A. Teaching How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Through his Twitter account, @brendanloy, which I discovered thanks to @politicalmath Anything else? #PANIC #DOOM #AwesomelySillyHashTagsThatMakeMeSmile #LOTRReferncesAreAlwaysAppropriate #WhyAmIPuttingHashTagsInATextField BCS champ: Other 129t. Spencer Jolley Burke, Virginia Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 469 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 4 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.6% (47.9% to 49.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.58% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1248526 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? I think that the main issue facing our country needs to be the economy, and Romney is the man to fix that. College/school? Lake Braddock Secondary School How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Geekpress Anything else? BCS champ: Oregon 129t. Zach Bloxham (@zbloxham) Spokane, WA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 469 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 4 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 238 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Iowa Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.9% (48.2% to 50.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1.1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1256233 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Weber State University/ Gonzaga University School of Law How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? Gary Johnson is my lover, Mitt Romney is my spouse. I wish Johnson didn't take his ball and leave the GOP. BCS champ: Oregon 135. Megan Story San Francisco, CA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 468 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IL (20), IN (11), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Obama Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 4 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 47 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 234 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 1.7% (48.6% to 46.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.4% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1047249 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Ohio University, 2002 BSEd. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? geekpress Anything else? Nope. BCS champ: Oregon 136t. Barry Johnson (@beavis421) Lexington, MA Party: Republican Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 467 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 244 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Iowa Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4% (48% to 52%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1128633 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? I'm a pragmatic libertarian and he's the rarest of birds -- a libertarian with actual governing experience. College/school? University of South Carolina How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Through Intstapundit. Anything else? BCS champ: Florida 136t. Bruce Kammer (@noose619) San Diego, CA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 467 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 239 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.1% (47.6% to 48.7%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.42% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 989865 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Tulane Law School, 2001 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Fellow weather nerd who discovered Brendan during Katrina. Anything else? BCS champ: Notre Dame 136t. Roger Bissell Antioch, Tennessee Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 467 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 235 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -6.8% (46.1% to 52.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.74% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1234567 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? If Obama wins, we will collapse into a socialist dictatorship and a ruined economy. College/school? University of Iowa, 1971, Master of Arts in Music Performance and Literature How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? email forwarded from friend Anything else? BCS champ: Other 136t. Samuel Rosado (@SARosado) Elizabeth, NJ Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 467 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 243 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.8% (47.5% to 49.3%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 3.1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1089364 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? UT Dallas for undergrad; Roger Williams University for my JD. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Via the Twitters. Anything else? Your mother. BCS champ: TCU 140t. Jennifer Snow Kettering, OH Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 466 points (out of 538) States wrong: IN (11), MA (11), MI (16), NC (15), NE2 (1), OH (18)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Obama Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 53 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 241 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Massachusetts Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.2% (42.6% to 43.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.22% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1366733 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? I like his pro-liberty politics. College/school? Ohio, no degree How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Via Geekpress Anything else? BCS champ: 140t. Krastio Atanassov (@katanassov) Milano Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 466 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IL (20), ND (3), NM (5), NV (6)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 238 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Florida Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -0.8% (48.8% to 49.6%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.6% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1101057 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Obama is a bigger socialist. College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 142t. Chris Newbury (@cjnewbury) Alexandria, VA Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 465 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NE1 (1), NH (4), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 236 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -0.8% (48.4% to 49.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.32% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1100000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Obama's policies, especially foreign policies, scare me a lot more now than they did four years ago, and they scared me then. #Benghazi Also, remain unimpressed with his economic/financial team and disagree with many of his policies toward business. College/school? North Carolina 1988 Business Admin How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Started following blog during Katrina. Anything else? If Romney doesn't win VA I'll be astonished. I don't care what the polls say. There's no enthusiasm for Obama here - even in deep blue Alexandria. Not for attribution, but I'm not sure who I'm going to vote for in the VA senate race. Both candidates suck. BCS champ: Alabama 142t. Jeff Raglin (@JeffR232) Mountain View, CA Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 465 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NV (6), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 244 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.8% (47% to 51.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.39% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1000003 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? B.S Rice University, M.S Clemson How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Instapundit connections Anything else? BCS champ: Notre Dame 142t. Kristy LaPlante (@KristySez) Denver, CO Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Other Alf for President! 465 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IN (11), MA (11), ME2 (1), NC (15), NE1 (1), NE2 (1), NH (4)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Obama Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 238 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Colorado Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 5.1% (51.2% to 46.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.08% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1301290 Why the support for Other Alf for President!? Because my sister, cousin & I all came up with a pretty compelling campaign -- including jingles and various advertisements -- for ALF in the 80s, and I must say, he was a strong candidate. College/school? Ithaca College, BS. University of Colorado (Denver), MBA and MS. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? I flew out to Tennessee, just to babysit his firstborn. 'Nuff said. Anything else? I would like to say, on the record, that the BCS is still a hunk of poop. BCS champ: Alabama 145t. Charles Fenwick (@clfenwi) Jacksomville,FL Party: Republican Supports: 464 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), NE2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 46 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 235 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1% (49.1% to 50.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.45% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 11003574 Why the support for ? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Oregon 145t. Dwight Strayer (@MoStateDwight) Tulsa, OK Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 464 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 249 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Florida Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.6% (48.2% to 50.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1187645 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Missouri State University - Undergrad '07 in Accounting and Economics, Grad '08 in Accounting How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Follow him on twitter because of Mid Majority Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 145t. Joe Mama Fairfax County, VA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 464 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3% (48% to 51%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.35% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1100000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Romney is more experienced, more qualified, more pragmatic, and less ideological than Obama. Obama is a phony. College/school? Bucknell, BSChE, 1997 UConn Law, JD, 2003 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Regular blog reader since 2005 Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 145t. Scott Anglemyer (@anglescott) Shawnee, KS Party: Democrat Supports: Barack Obama (D) 464 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IA (6), IN (11), NM (5), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Obama Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 238 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 1% (49.8% to 48.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.02% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 989401 Why the support for Barack Obama (D)? College/school? Emporia State University, 1985, Political Science (BA) University of Michigan, 1990, Political Science (MA) How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 149t. Chad Hampton Maryville, TN Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 463 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 235 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.4% (48.8% to 50.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.42% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1123587 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 149t. charles seger (@crseger) norwich, england Party: Democrat Supports: Barack Obama (D) 463 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 238 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1% (48.8% to 49.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.73% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1104537 Why the support for Barack Obama (D)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? twitter Anything else? I really want Obama to win but I'm negative and nervous so am working that out here. BCS champ: Alabama 149t. Griffin Sumner (@GTSumner) Louisville, KY Party: Democrat Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 463 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 258 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -0.5% (48.1% to 48.6%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.28% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1109922 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Economic philosophy, business experience College/school? Centre College Bs Economics University of Cincinnati, JD How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? I have no idea how I found Brendan on twitter, but he manages to retweet anything I would find interesting anyway ... politics, college sports, law, weather, kids Anything else? I'm the educated working female and (Catholic) mom that statistics can't explain. BCS champ: Alabama 149t. Samuel Gilleran (@samuelgilleran) Martinsville, Virginia Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 463 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 240 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.7% (48.1% to 49.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.72% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1121908 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Because he's not Obama. :/ Ron Paul would have been preferable. College/school? Washington and Lee University, 2011, BA (Major: Non-Western History; Minor: Music) How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Pajamas Media Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 153t. Bil Danielson (@bildanielson) Bloomington, IL Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 462 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NE2 (1), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 241 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -0.8% (48.5% to 49.3%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 2.15% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1050000 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? In short, the concept of individual rights relative to the stated positions of the candidates. College/school? University of Wisconsin System, 1989, MBA How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? FB Friend referral Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 153t. Kraig Williams (@KraigW) SLC, UT Party: Supports: 462 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IN (11), NC (15), NV (6)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Obama Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 52 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 230 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Nevada Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 2.6% (52.1% to 49.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.5% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1340124 Why the support for ? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 153t. yosef kudan (@yossikudan) hollywood fl Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 462 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NE2 (1), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 236 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: NH Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.8% (47.4% to 51.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1.4% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1150000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? only hope to get the debt and deficits under control College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? from twitter/beta test request Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 156t. Bas Hey (@Bashay) Haan, Germany Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 459 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 255 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3% (48% to 51%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.45% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1083629 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? less evil College/school? M.A. '12 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 156t. Darin K (@Nyghtewynd) St. Louis, MO Party: Prefer not to say Supports: Prefer not to say 459 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), NM (5), NV (6), PA (20), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 236 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.6% (47% to 52.6%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.3% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1000000 Why the support for Prefer not to say? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Oregon 156t. Joe Wright (@Sctvman) Charleston, SC Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 459 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 235 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.3% (48% to 49.3%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.97% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1050324 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? College of Charleston. Junior there. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Follow him as a college basketball writer. Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 156t. Jordan Freemyer (@jfreemyer) Greeley Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 459 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 251 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: OH Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.7% (48.6% to 50.3%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.8% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1086312 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Supporting a third party candidate is a waste of time and energy, and between he and Obama, Romney is by far the lesser of two evils. College/school? University of Northern Colorado, B.A. in Journalism & Mass Communications How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Met Brendan through basketball coverage. Anything else? Go Bears! BCS champ: Alabama 156t. Ryan Morgan (@ElectionNightHQ) Brookfield WI Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 459 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 240 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -0.9% (49% to 49.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.59% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1159000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Debt. Jobs. Abortion. Benghazi. College/school? Drake University, Actuarial Science (2006) How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? NCAA Pools. Anything else? BCS champ: Kansas State 161t. Ben Van Horrick (@kenyondomer) ALEXANDRIA, VA Party: Supports: Undecided 458 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), NM (5), NV (6), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 243 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: OHIO Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.6% (48.2% to 51.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.66% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1108565 Why the support for Undecided? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 161t. Chris Kaiser (@AvogadroJD) Chicago, IL Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 458 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 280 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: New Hampshire Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.6% (48% to 50.6%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.75% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1302861 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? I was an Obama voter in 2008. While I was not a huge supporter of his, I found his social-issue policies better than the Republicans', and I was tired of 8 years of Bush-bashing. I thought the economy would likely take care of itself. Although I disagreed with his economic policies, I was willing to give them a try. I'm disappointed with his approach and his results with respect to the economy, and I don't find his social policies as small-government as I'd like. Mostly, though, I'm tired of being called a racist by Obama supporters merely because I disagree with the president's policies--it may not be Obama's fault, but I find it cowardly of him to constantly hide behind his race to avoid criticism. College/school? College: Colorado School of Mines, 1996, B.S. in Chemical Engineering Grad School: Chicago-Kent College of Law, 2005, J.D. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? I'm a Twitter follower of Brendan's. I was introduced to his Twitter feed through Instapundit during one of the recent hurricanes (can't remember which one). Anything else? BCS champ: Other 161t. RICHARD QUIGLEY (@Quig40) DIGBY Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 458 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 57 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 246 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Fla Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.6% (48.2% to 51.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.03% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 12357951 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 164. Lee Cole Evergreen, CO Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 456 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IL (20), NE2 (1), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 5.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 247 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: OH Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4% (47.5% to 51.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1.7% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1175000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Obama failed. Let someone else try. College/school? Dartmouth, PhD, 80 Indiana Univ of PA, BS, 75 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? GeekPress Anything else? BCS champ: 165t. Brian Beck (@TigerHawk310) Northbrook, IL Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 455 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 237 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: PA Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.6% (47.7% to 50.3%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1.5% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1150000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Princeton '05 B.S.E., NYU Law '08 J.D. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Weather Nerd blog on PJMedia Anything else? BCS champ: Ohio 165t. Maarten Buitendijk Wilder, VT Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 455 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 235 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.7% (48.5% to 51.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.3% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1150000 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? I can't vote, but I would vote for Gary Johnson if I could because his views are closest to my own. College/school? B.S. @ Delft University of Technology (Netherlands), M.S. @ NCSU (Raleigh NC), pursuing PhD at Dartmouth College How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter and PJmedia through Weathernerd blogging Anything else? BCS champ: 167. John Taylor Hatfield, Pennsylvania Party: Other Libertarian Supports: 453 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), NH (4), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 228 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Pennsylvania Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1% (49.1% to 50.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.7% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1001732 Why the support for ? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? geekpress Anything else? BCS champ: 168t. Lou Almon (@LouA3465) Taunton, MA Party: Supports: 452 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 52 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 240 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: MA Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.6% (47.5% to 49.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.06% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1000000 Why the support for ? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 168t. Matt Frese (@mdfrese) Baltimore, MD Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 452 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 239 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Michigan Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.1% (46.7% to 47.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.59% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1201679 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Because he's not Barack Obama. College/school? Johns Hopkins How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Andy Glockner's twitter feed Anything else? Given the Republican domination of the senatorial electoral votes, and looking at past maps, I can't believe it's possible for a Republican to win the national popular vote and lose the electoral college. One of the two will not happen. BCS champ: 170t. Andrew Bolte (@albolte) Albuquerque, New Mexico Party: Republican Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 451 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NE2 (1), NM (5), NV (6), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 45 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 227 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 4.5% (51.4% to 46.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 2.7% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1215749 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? Because I'm not particularly enamored with either mainstream candidate, and because I've seen what Gary Johnson is capable of during his tenure as NM Governor, College/school? Eastern New Mexico University; graduated in 2003 with a bachelor's of business administration in computer information systems. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Through his coverage of Hurricane Katrina that was promoted on Instapundit long ago. Now through the Mid-Majority community on Twitter. Anything else? Please, let Gary Johnson be the difference between Romney and Obama winning. Until that happens, we'll never get an honest conversation about political choices for national parties. BCS champ: Oregon 170t. Andrew Cameron (@FigDrewton) Virginia Beach, VA Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 451 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IN (11), ME2 (1), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 6.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 247 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Virginia Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2% (48.5% to 50.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 999573 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Unimpressed with Obama's leadership. College/school? Old Dominion University, BA. George Mason, MA (in progress) How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? From a tweet by Melissa Clouthier Anything else? No thank you. BCS champ: Alabama 170t. Heath Cummings (@heathcummingssr) Harrisonville, MO Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 451 points (out of 538) States wrong: AZ (11), CO (9), FL (29), ME2 (1), NE2 (1), NM (5), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 238 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -0.5% (47.9% to 48.4%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.78% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 987650 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? I think he is best equipped to fix the economy College/school? Capella University, 2009 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Hurricanes Anything else? BCS champ: Kansas State 170t. Rob Atherton (@RCAther10) Littleton, Colorado Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 451 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NE2 (1), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 237 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.1% (48.1% to 51.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.71% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1002583 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? We have to change the course we are on or we will become Greece or a territory of China. College/school? JD- University of Missouri-Kansas City, 1999 BA- William Jewell College- Liberty, MO, 1994 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Blog Reader, Twitter follower, Saw contest on Twitter Feed Anything else? Like, follow most of the same things Brendan does except from the other side. :-) BCS champ: Alabama 174. David Rigsby (@snowed_in) Austin, TX Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 450 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IN (11), NE2 (1), NH (4), NM (5), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.1% (46.7% to 49.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1.02% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1026479 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Texas A&M Univ., Masters, Elec. Engineering, 1998 Abilene Christian Univ., two B.S. degrees, Math & Engineering Physics, 1996 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? B/c I follow him on Twitter. Anything else? BCS champ: Kansas State 175t. Brendan Haley (@HallEYA) Rumson, NJ Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 449 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 243 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Minnesota Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.8% (48.2% to 51%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.8% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1041488 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Amherst College - undergraduate Cornell University - graduate How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Via Twitter. Anything else? I will be bitterly disappointed if BO is elected, but I hope that if he is, the election process is aboveboard and peaceful. Should Romney win, I hope for the same. BCS champ: Alabama 175t. Brian Brown (@theBrarian) Annapolis, MD Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 449 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 252 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Michagan Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.8% (47.1% to 51.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.89% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1197042 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Foreign affairs and economic issues College/school? UCSB/UCLA. Literature and then Masters in Library and Information Science How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? trojans and weather dude Anything else? I think I am the last conservative librarian. I bleed cardinal and gold. Fight On. BCS champ: Alabama 175t. Jared wenninger (@animblevagrant) St. Louis mo Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 449 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 237 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.2% (47.2% to 51.4%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.45% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1050000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Jobs. College/school? Missouri state university, 2007, MA in international affairs and admin How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter! Anything else? BCS champ: Texas A&M 175t. jason gingerich (@jaginger) windsor, ct Party: Supports: 449 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 234 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.5% (48.1% to 50.6%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.86% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1104391 Why the support for ? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 175t. Joe Scotto (@yaleunc) Wake Forest, NC Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 449 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 247 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Iowa Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.8% (48.5% to 50.3%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.97% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1186729 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Best choice for the country, in particular the economy. College/school? Yale undergrad, UNC-Chapel Hill postgrad How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Saw link on Twitter feed of Melissa Clouthier. Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 175t. Justin Clardie (@jclardie) Lawton, OK Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 449 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 237 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.9% (47.9% to 49.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.58% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1070800 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Oregon 175t. Matt Jones (@mattithyahu) Seattle, WA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 449 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: WI Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2% (48.5% to 50.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.8% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1150000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Better economic vision and plan. College/school? University of Washington (2003, Physics and Astronomy) How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter/PJM Anything else? I'm personally amazed the race is this close. BCS champ: Oregon 175t. Mike P (@ThePantau) Bronx, NY Party: Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 449 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 248 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Pennsylvania Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.6% (48.2% to 50.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1002347 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Other 175t. Tim Raub Arlington Heights, Illinois Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Prefer not to say 449 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 232 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.5% (47% to 51.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1.1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1050000 Why the support for Prefer not to say? Benghazi College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 184t. Gerry Daly (@gerrydales) Fayetteville, AR Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 448 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 237 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: OH Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.9% (47.2% to 52.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.65% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1173562 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Obama is too far left and has been incompetent in most regards. College/school? Clarkson U, 1989, BS Math & Comp Sci How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Weather Nerd Anything else? Hi Mom! BCS champ: Alabama 184t. Paul Hsieh (@paulhsieh) Sedalia, CO Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Undecided 448 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 228 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.5% (46% to 50.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 3.45% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1020001 Why the support for Undecided? Still undecided between Romney and Johnson, although leaning Romney. College/school? College: MIT, 1984 Medical School: University of Michigan, MD, 1989 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Doug Mataconis Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 184t. Raj Pai (@phillyraje) Dunn Loring, VA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 448 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 239 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2% (48.1% to 50.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1.2% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1111111 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Partisan Republican who think Obama is incompetent and a failure on the economy & deficit College/school? Villanova University '96/Harvard Law '99 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Links through Instapundit dating back to pre-Katrina Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 184t. Scott Schmidt (@sosweho) WEST HOLLYWOOD, CA Party: Republican Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 448 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.3% (48.3% to 50.6%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.7% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1140234 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? I agree with him on the gay marriage College/school? Georgetown, BSFS USC, MSIPA How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Internets Anything else? BCS champ: Kansas State 184t. Steve J Philadelphia, PA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 448 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 241 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Michigan Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.4% (47.6% to 52%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.43% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1127635 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? 48 yo. law grad How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? through weather blog post-Sandy Anything else? BCS champ: Oregon 189t. mark nitikman Rossmoor Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 447 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NV (6), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 247 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: CO Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.5% (47.2% to 52.7%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.01% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1173629 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Barack Obama College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 189t. Paul Oberlander (@sirebral) Castaic, Ca Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 447 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 237 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Pennsylvania Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.5% (48.6% to 50.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.85% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1100250 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Responsible fiscal policy, past business acumen. College/school? CSUN 1996 BA How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? twitter through Julia Clark Anything else? I would like to thank the Academy for my award. BCS champ: Oregon 189t. Tom Cooney (@TFC3Tweets) Atlanta, GA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 447 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME1 (1), NM (5), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 241 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.3% (47.5% to 49.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.85% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1095000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Competent. College/school? BS, ME Environmental Engineering How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Follow on twitter. Anything else? WI, OH can go either way... This will be very, very tight. BCS champ: Alabama 192t. Brandon Minich (@brando_minich) Frederick, MD Party: Republican Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 445 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IN (11), MI (16), NE2 (1), NH (4), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 224 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Colorado Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -0.5% (47.7% to 48.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 2.02% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1073328 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? Because Romney and Obama are both ridiculous choices. I'm tired of the current system. I'm going to be the change, so to speak. Only way third parties become viable? If people vote for them! College/school? Indiana University of Pennsylvania. IUP! Graduated 2004. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Probably through Instapundit, when he linked Brendan for the hurricane coverage. I feel it was pre Katrina, though. The college sports and election geekery kept me around. Anything else? I'm technically a Republican still, but have big issues with the party. But I still keep my GOP registration because it says something in Maryland, a Democratic state from ye olden times. BCS champ: Oregon 192t. Josh Tenenbaum Thousand Oaks, CA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 445 points (out of 538) States wrong: AK (3), CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 230 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Nevada Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4% (47% to 51%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1000000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Economy is in the tank College/school? California. Graduated with BA and MA degrees. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Google Anything else? Romney will win because of economy BCS champ: Alabama 192t. Tripp Reynolds (@seanachie) Montgomery, AL Party: Prefer not to say Supports: Prefer not to say 445 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IN (11), ME2 (1), NE1 (1), NE2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Florida Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 0.8% (48.7% to 47.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.89% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1105874 Why the support for Prefer not to say? College/school? Texas A&M, 2007, Master of International Affairs How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 195. Phillip Price (@isaywhateveryo) Houston, TX Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 443 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), NM (5), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 246 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -0.8% (49% to 49.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.5% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1005000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Tax and economic policy College/school? College: McNeese State 2003/2004 -- B.S. Math, B.S. Engineering (Electrical) Law School: Notre Dame 2007 -- J.D. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Classmate at Notre Dame Law School Anything else? This election will largely depend on turnout. I hate saying that the polls are wrong because I got burned by that thought process in 2008, but it seems that there are two divergent strains of polls: those that follow a 2008 turnout model (e.g., National Journal, PPP(D), etc.) and those that claim Republican turnout will be significantly up (e.g., Gallup, Rasmussen, Mason Dixon). I tend to side with the latter. BCS champ: Notre Dame 196t. Matthew DesOrmeaux (@cynicusprime) Houston Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 442 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 236 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Pennsylvania Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.5% (47% to 49.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 2% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1050000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 196t. Mike Marchand (@michianacomedy) South Bend, IN Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 442 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 55 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 261 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Iowa Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.1% (47.9% to 51%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.57% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1274942 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? #MATH. And, oh what the hell, #PANIC and #DOOM too. College/school? University of Notre Dame '01 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? the old ndtoday proto-social network for students and young alumni Anything else? No. BCS champ: Oregon 196t. Todd Newberg (@TheToddNewberg) Lafayette, LA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 442 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 243 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: NM Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.9% (47.9% to 51.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.3% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1134455 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Economic know how. Won't blame others. College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? Nate Silver will be put on suicide watch on 11/7/2012 BCS champ: Alabama 199. aquinas heard marietta, ga Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 441 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), MI (16), NH (4), PA (20), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 53 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 252 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -6.4% (45.1% to 51.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 3.4% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1000000 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? Because I am in a red state and Romney will win it anyway College/school? UTSA How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? from F.I.R.M. Anything else? BCS champ: 200t. Colin Pedicini (@cmpedicini) Fort Worth, TX Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 433 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 53 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -6.1% (46.7% to 52.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.24% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1311693 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? NMSU '09 (history) and TCU '13 (accounting) How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Know Brendan online from the Katrina days and have been reading since then. Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 200t. Joe Havel (@havelj) Chicago Party: Other Conservative Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 433 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: OH Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -6% (46.5% to 52.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1250000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Strong leadership, economy, ceo-style. College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? BCS champ: Notre Dame 200t. Matt Drachenberg (@mdrache) Fayetteville, AR Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 433 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 238 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Pennsylvania Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3% (48% to 51%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.6% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1122321 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Debt, business climate College/school? Kansas State '88 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Old blog acquaintance. Anything else? The BCS prediction below is heart, not head. BCS champ: Kansas State 203t. Jeremy Kolassa (@jdkolassa) Washington, DC Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 432 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IN (11), NE2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 251 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.6% (46.7% to 50.3%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 3.03% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1003075 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? Because I believe in individual freedom on all issues; I'm against war; and I actually want to limit the state, not talk about it. College/school? SUNY Albany, 2010, Journalism/Japanese How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Through Doug Mataconis' Facebook page. Anything else? It's Prime Time for a New Candidate -- Optimus Prime 2012! I like roleplaying games. We need more of them in the political pundit community. Pundits & Posers! BCS champ: Notre Dame 203t. L Newmark (@coronadobound) Detroit,MI Party: Prefer not to say Supports: Prefer not to say 432 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 236 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Michigan Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.6% (46.6% to 52.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.45% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1053545 Why the support for Prefer not to say? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Oregon 205. Debbie Kurtz (@IndelicatFlower) San Diego, CA Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 431 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), OR (7), PA (20), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 257 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Iowa Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5% (47% to 52%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1.000,000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Because I think he's utterly, dangerously incompetent at his current job. College/school? I've gone to several colleges for a little while -- probably equate to a midyear sophomore in education, but no degree How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? WEATHER NERD! I am one, too. Have been since I was a little girl and learned the word "cirrostratus". Anything else? I hope that Romney's able to knit America back together as a people again. Not completely; I don't think that'll ever happen. But I hope he at least tries, and that he's a little successful. BCS champ: Other 206t. Erin Arlinghaus (@erinarlinghaus) Minneapolis, MN Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 430 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NC (15), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 52 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 250 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Minnesota Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -0.8% (49.1% to 49.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.55% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1290000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? I don't vote for pro-choice candidates unless I have a proportionate reason. And then there's the economy, Benghazi... lots of reasons to vote against President Obama. College/school? I have a Ph.D. in an engineering discipline. That and my B.S. in engineering are both from Big Ten universities. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Started reading him during Katrina. Still following in the aftermath of Sandy. This sounded fun. Anything else? I am a 38-year-old mother of four. BCS champ: 206t. Jeff Donels (@jdonels) Alexandria VA Party: Supports: 430 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IL (20), MN (10), NE2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 9.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4% (47% to 51%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1200000 Why the support for ? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 208t. Ken Gardner (kesgardner) Fort Worth Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 429 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Nevada Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.4% (46.8% to 52.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.4% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1001732 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 208t. Mark Desmarais Springfield, VA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 429 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 53 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: PA Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.3% (47.4% to 51.7%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.52% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1025412 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Because I like babies and think it shouldn't be legal to kill them College/school? 2006 graduate of University of Chicago. BA in Math How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Weather Nerd Hurricane Coverage Anything else? I submit this map not because I think it is the most likely outcome, but because I think the most likely outcomes are more likely to be picked by multiple people who will then fight it out over tiebreakers. So here's a wave of momentum in the rust belt sending Romney to a landslide. PA shocks everyone early in the evening and we go to bed knowing the winner overall, even though we don't know until the morning that PA is officially in Romney's column. But after the winner is decided, we find that Obama won Nevada with a wider margin than Romney won PA and we get to ponder what it means for Nevada politics for a while. BCS champ: LSU 208t. Peter W Sterne Sr (@p_w_sterne) Old Greenwich Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 429 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Connecticut Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2.4% (48.1% to 50.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1052654 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Gary Johnson is my preferred candidate but CT is in play and this election is too important for a protest vote. I voted Libertarian in the last 3 presidential elections. College/school? University of Maine, BA in History, 1981 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? I first heard of you from Glenn Reynolds' Instapundit site for tropical weather coverage. Anything else? I like your weather related blogging, and think we might be pretty closely aligned politically, but I don't see how any intelligent person could vote for Obama given his record of failure, division & dishonesty the past 4 years. BCS champ: Alabama 211t. Charlie Keller Arlington, VA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 428 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME1 (1), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 53 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: WI Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.4% (47.8% to 51.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.9% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1148623 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 211t. Jeremy Coffey (@jermwar) Woodbridge, VA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 428 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Minnesota Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.5% (47.8% to 51.3%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.67% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1098463 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? So many reasons both pro-conservative & pro-GOP to anti-Obama, anti-progressive/Democrat, but to pick one reason that sets Romney apart is among his 5 points where he supports small business over big business. College/school? undergrad and grad school all inside the Beltway How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? contest via twitter, Brendan via instapundit Anything else? My "real" prediction is a Romney win with 316, (still rater optimistic perhaps) but I decided to go all in with a black swan wave election map in order to reduce the number of people who have the same map. Oregon likely pushed me well over and beyond, so I may have gamed myself out of contention. Still, can't win if you don't play! BCS champ: Alabama 211t. Scott Graves (@scottwgraves) Orange, CA Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 428 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), NE1 (1), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 243 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.5% (47% to 51.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.25% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1000000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Obama is socialist. College/school? Undergad: Cal State, Fullerton Grad: University of Southern California How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? BCS champ: 211t. Thomas Womack (@BookOx) Sisters, Oregon Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 428 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME1 (1), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Nevada Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.5% (47% to 51.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.37% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1107394 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? (1) protecting constitutional liberty (2) reducing government intrusiveness (3) restoring economic health College/school? University of Missouri, 1974, Bachelor of Journalism How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? from Jim Geraghty in the Morning Jolt Anything else? I don't trust politicians BCS champ: Oregon 215t. Fred (@drfred56) Shreveport, LA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 427 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NE2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 9 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 53 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 244 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: PA Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.6% (47.2% to 51.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.9% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1005999 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Northwestern State University (LA) 1978 Zoology LSU School of Medicine in Shreveport 1982 MD How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter, AoS Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 215t. Joel Smith (@joelius) Brooklyn, NY Party: Supports: 427 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), MI (16), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 7 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 243 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: PA Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.1% (47.1% to 52.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.3% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 999008 Why the support for ? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 217. Roderick Lawrence (@bigsr) Phoenixville, PA Party: Other Libertarian Supports: Gary Johnson (L) 423 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IN (11), NH (4), NM (5), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 9 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 233 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: PA Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3% (46.4% to 49.4%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 3% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1115278 Why the support for Gary Johnson (L)? The other parties refuse to make the hard choices needed. College/school? Penn State How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 218. Andrew Long Herndon, VA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 422 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 9.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 238 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Wisconsin Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.3% (47.8% to 51.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.6% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1211358 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? USC '02 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? We attend weddings together. Anything else? BCS champ: USC 219t. Adam Uthe (@AUtheGFT) Dallas, TX Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Other Jon Huntsman 421 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IA (6), MA (11), ME (2), NH (4), NV (6), PA (20), RI (4), VA (13), WA (12), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 228 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Pennsylvania Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 0% (0.4% to 0.4%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1398356 Why the support for Other Jon Huntsman? Biggest threat to America in the near future is China and he's a former Ambassador to China. I actually don't believe in anyone enough to make the effort to vote for them (my sister, a soon to be graduate at Miami University in Oxford, OH would get my actual vote right now) College/school? Graduated from the University of Dayton in 2010 with a degree in Sport Management How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Through Mid Majority connections on Twitter (specifically @juliaflyer) Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 219t. Robert Jones Stewartville, MN Party: Prefer not to say Supports: Prefer not to say 421 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME1 (1), NE2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 244 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.9% (46.3% to 52.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.5% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1000001 Why the support for Prefer not to say? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 221. Roy (@rightwingrider) Texas Party: Other Christian Conservative first and always. Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 419 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), MN (10), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 9 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 249 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: New Hampshire Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4% (47% to 51%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.3% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 985264 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Because my country can't survive 4 more years of this communist. And if we lose the Supreme Court we lose the Republic. College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? BCS champ: 222t. John Ciccone (@JCinQC) York, SC Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 418 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME1 (1), MN (10), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 9.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 246 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Iowa Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 0.1% (52.3% to 52.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 47.3% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1233456 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? He is the conservative College/school? 1986 Rutgers University BA Political Science How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 222t. Steve Sande (@stevensande) Highlands Ranch, CO Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 418 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME1 (1), MI (16), NC (15), NE2 (1), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 9 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Minnesota Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.9% (46.3% to 52.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.42% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1125922 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Obama is a frigging socialist. That's why. College/school? University of Colorado, 1978, BS Civil Engineering University of Colorado, 1983, MBA How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Following on Twitter Anything else? I used to be a libtard. I woke up. That is all. BCS champ: Oregon 224. James R Chapman Rohnert Park, CA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 417 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NE3 (1), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 54 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 232 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: MN Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -9.3% (45.3% to 54.6%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.93% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 715000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? To many to list. I would walk on glass to vote Mr. Obama out of office. College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Oregon State 225. Matt Erickson (@MattSErickson) 4402 Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 416 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME1 (1), MI (16), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 8.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 243 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Minnesota Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.3% (46.8% to 52.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.38% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1073600 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Buisiness experience College/school? Utah State University,1988 BA in Poli-Sci; Univ Maine School of Law JD 1994 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 226. Eric Mitchko (@emitchko) Raleigh, NC Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 415 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), OR (7), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Oregon Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.9% (47.2% to 52.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.8% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1076448 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Tired of the imperial presidency, macroeconomic illiteracy, and geostrategic nincompoopery. College/school? Princeton 1990 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? ah, not sure, started reading the old blog (the one with the dark blue background and the circles) before the 2004 election. Anything else? BCS champ: 227. Mark Gardner (@mpg137) Fredericksburg, VA Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 414 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), MN (10), NH (4), NM (5), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 53 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 248 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Pennsylvania Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.2% (46.8% to 52%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1.23% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1135345 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? It's the Economy, Stupid. College/school? Penn State with Architectural Engineering How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Found during blogging days of Katrina under Buuuusssssshhhhhhh. Anything else? Nope BCS champ: Notre Dame 228. John Pearson (@johnnyvulgar) River Falls, WI Party: Other conservative Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 409 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME1 (1), MI (16), MN (10), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), OR (7), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 11.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 55 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 237 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Minnesota Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -7.9% (45.7% to 53.6%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 2.33% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 998954 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? He's not Obama, and he can win. College/school? Univ of MN 2005 BA Hist How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? I started following his weather posts and migrated to Twitter to harass him more (in a non-confrontational, friendly way). Anything else? Brendan is a good guy and a good sport. Mile High Becky seems to be very fair-minded, too. Pretty open-minded for Libs! BCS champ: Alabama 229t. Amalesh R Sanku Naperville Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Barack Obama (D) 407 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), MI (16), NE2 (1), NH (4), NM (5), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 45 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 225 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: virginia Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 2% (50.5% to 48.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.22% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1156455 Why the support for Barack Obama (D)? He is better College/school? Chicago,IL How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Google search Anything else? BCS champ: Oklahoma 229t. Rob Robertson Boone Party: Supports: 407 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), MI (16), NE2 (1), NH (4), NM (5), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 248 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Pennsylvania Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -8.2% (45.2% to 53.4%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1.2% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1113956 Why the support for ? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 231. Franz Gilbert (@FranzGilbert) savannah, ga Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 405 points (out of 538) States wrong: DC (3), FL (29), IN (11), KY (8), MD (10), NJ (14), NM (5), NY (29), TN (11), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 50 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 220 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: California Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -2% (48% to 50%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 0 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Wichita State How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? no, Facebook Anything else? BCS champ: Florida 232. John Pitzel (@johnpitzel) Lees Summit, MO Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 404 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IN (11), ME2 (1), NE2 (1), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 48 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 236 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.9% (47.5% to 51.4%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.35% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1002587 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: LSU 233. Larry Dean (@Balou8900) Cottage Grove, MN Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 402 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME1 (1), MI (16), MN (10), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 52 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 247 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: MN Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -8.3% (45.2% to 53.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.3% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1000666 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Conservative policies of smaller government result in growing economy, jobs and lowered deficits. Economy is key and we have 4 years proof how wrong liberal spending is for getting economy working. College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter follower link Anything else? If this turns into the landslide I believe is coming, the pollsters and media have proven they are total frauds. In media case, threatening our desire to keep their freedom of the press. A freedom I fought for them to have. BCS champ: Oregon 234. Karl Lewin (@lewinke) Southlake, TX Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 401 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IL (20), ME2 (1), NH (4), OH (18), OR (7), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 52 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: MI Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4% (47.4% to 51.4%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.32% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1010774 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Direction of country. College/school? University of Missouri - Rolla BS CSi 1989 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Kansas State 235t. Alex Coelho (@apcoelho) Spokane, WA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 398 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), CT (7), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), OR (7), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 12.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 238 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: CT Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -7.5% (45.7% to 53.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.61% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1098291 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 235t. Brian Wilk Coventry RI Party: Prefer not to say Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 398 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), MI (16), NC (15), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 10 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 250 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: OHIO Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -1.3% (48.8% to 50.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.45% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1121035 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? CCRI How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 237. Joseph Thompson Lombard, IL Party: Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 397 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), MI (16), MN (10), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 11 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 56 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 257 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: NJ Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -10.1% (44.8% to 54.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1003560 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: 238. Joe Rigney (@joe_rigney) Minneapolis, MN Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 396 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 11.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 53 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Michigan Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3.4% (47.8% to 51.2%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.8% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1100283 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 239t. Clay Ginn (@claywginn) Anna, TX Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 395 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IN (11), ME1 (1), MI (16), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 11.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -3% (48.5% to 51.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.2% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1074822 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? More conservative than other candidates, though not as conservative as I'd like. Has actually run a business before, which is a huge plus. College/school? MDivinity (almost), Luther Rice University MS in Information Systems, Tarleton State University BS in Business Information Tech, Rogers State University How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? First found Brendan during Katrina those many years ago. Now follow him through PJMedia. Anything else? BCS champ: Kansas State 239t. Richard Cassella (@rpc120) Tobyhanna, PA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 395 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IL (20), IN (11), NH (4), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), VT (3), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 11 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 247 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.4% (47.1% to 52.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.5% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 998783 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Penn State How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? First from InstApundit links, then twitter Anything else? BCS champ: Notre Dame 241. Deb Hunter (@debs1004) East Liverpool, OH Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 394 points (out of 538) States wrong: FL (29), IA (6), IN (11), ME (2), MI (16), MN (10), NE2 (1), NM (5), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13), VT (3), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 12 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 75 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 255 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: FL Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -50% (25% to 75%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 2% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 230000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Because he is the most honest and sincere man running for the office. College/school? N/A How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? GO ROMNEY/RYAN!! BCS champ: Alabama 242. Hal Duston Kansas City, MO Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 390 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), MI (16), MN (10), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), OR (7), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 12 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 53 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 251 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Nevada Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.2% (46.9% to 52.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1050403 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? Univ Mo at Rolla, 1986 dropout. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Katrina Anything else? BCS champ: 243. Eric Wilson (@wilsoneg) Northglenn, CO Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 389 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NH (4), NV (6), OH (18), OR (7), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 12.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 52 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 244 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Oregon Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.2% (46.8% to 52%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.73% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1233751 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? I'm a libertarian-leaning conservative. I'd LIKE Gary Johnson to be POTUS, but I'm also realistic, so Romney it is. College/school? BS/MS in Electrical Engineering at CU, class of 2009 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Through an Instapundit link to the WeatherNerd blog. Anything else? BCS champ: Kansas State 244. Kevin N (@Kevin0point05) Arlington, VA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 385 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), ME2 (1), NM (5), NV (6), OH (18), OR (7), PA (20), VA (13), VT (3), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 13.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 49 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 243 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: OK Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -4.9% (47.2% to 52.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.85% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1154854 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? First heard him talk in 2007 about how without economic growth, we cannot fund any priorities. Everything that is great about America cannot last if we go too long at 0-1.5% growth. I think he is serious man for serious times. College/school? Boston College (undergrad; accounting) 1990s Georgetown Law 2000s How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Started following twitter during Irene. Stuck around because he's interesting Anything else? #PreferenceCascade2012! BCS champ: Louisville 245. William Greeley (@wagreeley) Grand Terrace, CA Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 377 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), MI (16), MN (10), NJ (14), NV (6), OH (18), OR (7), PA (20), VA (13), VT (3), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 13 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 246 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Florida Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -7.5% (46.5% to 54%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.88% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1000870 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? He is the only candidate who can defeat Obama. College/school? Graduated Cal State University, San Bernardino in 1984. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Paul Hsieh linked to it on FB. Anything else? BCS champ: USC 246. Jim Chapman (@jimmycworks) Kingsport, TN Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 376 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), MA (11), ME2 (1), NE2 (1), NH (4), NM (5), NV (6), NY (29), OH (18), PA (20), VA (13)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 13 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 55 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 258 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: PA Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -8.8% (44.6% to 53.4%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.8% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 859000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Experience. Economy. Leadership. College/school? ETSU, M.Ed. How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Twitter Anything else? GO Romney! BCS champ: Alabama 247. John Greene (@johngreene1974) Acton, Massachusetts Party: Independent/unaffiliated Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 364 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), FL (29), IA (6), IL (20), ME2 (1), NH (4), NM (5), NV (6), OH (18), OR (7), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 14.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 51 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 242 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Minnesota Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -5.5% (47% to 52.5%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0.4% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1056722 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? I am a Ron Paul / Libertarian supporter, but getting rid of Obama is more important. Don't want to waste my vote. College/school? Harvard, Economics, 1996 How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Blog reader Anything else? I've been predicting a Romney landslide since the 2009 healthcare debacle. It won't be close at all. BCS champ: Oregon 248. Sal Durante (0) Brooklyn, NY Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 351 points (out of 538) States wrong: CO (9), CT (7), DE (3), FL (29), IA (6), MD (10), MI (16), NE2 (1), NH (4), NJ (14), NM (5), NV (6), OH (18), PA (20), RI (4), VA (13), WA (12), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 17.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 54 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 245 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Illinois Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -18.2% (40.6% to 58.8%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1000000 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? He does not hate America. College/school? NY 1981 DDS How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? Mention on Facebook Anything else? BCS champ: Other 249. Josh McDowell (0) waukesha,wi Party: Republican Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 344 points (out of 538) States wrong: CT (7), FL (29), IN (11), MA (11), ME (2), ME1 (1), ME2 (1), NE2 (1), NH (4), NJ (14), NY (29), OH (18), PA (20), RI (4), VA (13), VT (3), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 15.5 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 5 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 240 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Ohio Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -97.5% (2.5% to 100%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 1% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 190 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? yahoo.com search Anything else? BCS champ: Alabama 250. Loyacita Loy (0) Denver, CO Party: Supports: Barack Obama (D) 320 points (out of 538) States wrong: AL (9), AR (6), AZ (11), CT (7), DC (3), DE (3), GA (16), HI (4), ID (4), IN (11), KS (6), KY (8), LA (8), MO (10), MS (6), MT (3), NC (15), ND (3), NE (2), NE2 (1), OK (7), SC (9), SD (3), TN (11), TX (38), UT (6)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Obama Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 27 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 47 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 240 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Arizona Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: 21.2% (60.1% to 38.9%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1288633 Why the support for Barack Obama (D)? Because my sister likes Mitt Romney College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? He's my daddy Anything else? BCS champ: 251. Loyette Loy (0) Denver, CO Party: Supports: Mitt Romney (R) 210 points (out of 538) States wrong: CA (55), CO (9), CT (7), DC (3), DE (3), FL (29), IA (6), IL (20), MA (11), MD (10), ME (2), ME1 (1), ME2 (1), NH (4), NJ (14), NM (5), NV (6), NY (29), OH (18), OR (7), PA (20), RI (4), VA (13), VT (3), WA (12), WI (10)
Tiebreaker #1: Predicted winner: Romney Tiebreaker #2: Number of states wrong: 26 Tiebreaker #3: Difference between predicted & actual Obama EV total Tiebreaker #4: Predicted GOP Senate seats: 47 Tiebreaker #5: Predicted GOP House seats: 240 Tiebreaker #6: Predicted closest state: Kentucky Tiebreaker #7: Predicted Obama popular vote margin: -21.2% (38.9% to 60.1%) Tiebreaker #8: Predicted Gary Johnson popular vote total: 0% Tiebreaker #9: Predicted Colorado raw Obama total: 1288633 Why the support for Mitt Romney (R)? Because he's handsome College/school? How do/did you know Brendan/find this contest? He's my daddy Anything else? BCS champ: |