AccuWeather meteorologist Joe Bastardi offers his perspective on Wilma, which is somewhat different than the NHC/TPC’s prediction of a Florida landfall overnight Saturday night:

2.) The idea of a slower hit on Florida (Sunday) will not be backed away from. In fact, I may be too fast. I feel TPC will have to slow down their ideas, but we shall see.

3.) There is a 10% chance that Wilma can miss the trof, dance westward along the north coast of the Yucatan and then turn southwestward into Mexico.

4.) NO-Gaps now supports my idea of phasing and the storm blasting New England. All other models are all over the place. The moral is, leave the track that is out and try to play with times and intensity…for now.

5.) A major New England and Northeast rain threat early next week, of course, would turn into a disaster if Wilma came into play.

6.) The storm will be very different once north of 30 north. A weakening center core and expanding wind field makes it a bigger storm in Florida than southwest of it for Charley, but not as furious at the center. My track is very close to the Charley landfall area and the exit is similar also.

7.) Once in the Atlantic, the storm becomes a huge hybrid and the strongest winds could wind up 100-200 miles from the center once north of the Hatteras latitude.

Here is Bastardi’s forecast track.

Incidentally, note the updated list of links at left, including the Cancun radar.